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Ligue 1
Referee: W Delajod
Nantes
U T S T T
0–0
Full-time
Lens
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Lens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
14%
71%
Points per game
0,9
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 71%
71%
71%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,1
2,3
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
12 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nantes 16. · Lens 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Marseille 8 6 2 0 +11 20
2 Paris SG 7 6 1 0 +21 19
3 Lorient 8 6 1 1 +5 19
4 Lens 7 5 2 0 +9 17
5 Monaco 8 4 2 2 +1 14
6 Lyon 7 4 1 2 +7 13
7 Lille 8 4 1 3 +0 13
8 Rennes 8 3 3 2 +6 12
9 Montpellier 8 4 0 4 +4 12
10 Troyes 8 3 1 4 -2 10
11 Clermont 8 3 1 4 -4 10
12 Toulouse 8 2 2 4 -4 8
13 Nice 8 2 2 4 -4 8
14 Angers 8 2 2 4 -9 8
15 Auxerre 8 2 1 5 -11 7
16 Nantes 7 1 3 3 -3 6
17 Reims 8 1 3 4 -7 6
18 Strasbourg 8 0 5 3 -3 5
19 Brest 8 1 2 5 -10 5
20 Ajaccio 8 1 1 6 -7 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nantes Lens
Half-time 0–0
S. Corchia 🔁
↦ N. Pallois
56′
65′
🔁 A. Claude-Maurice
↦ David Costa
65′
🔁 A. Buksa
↦ L. Openda
I. Ganago 🔁
↦ Mostafa Mohamed
74′
Samuel Moutoussamy 🟨
79′
81′
🔁 G. Kakuta
↦ F. Sotoca
81′
🔁 I. Boura
↦ P. Frankowski
E. Guessand 🔁
↦ M. Simon
87′
92′
🟨 Salis Abdul Samed
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Nantes

3-4-3
1 A. Lafont G
21 J. Castelletto D
3 Andrei Girotto D
4 N. Pallois D
12 D. Appiah M
8 S. Moutoussamy M
5 Chirivella M
29 Q. Merlin M
10 L. Blas F
31 Mostafa Mohamed F
27 M. Simon F
Bench (7)
24 S. Corchia
14 I. Ganago
7 E. Guessand
55 K. Bamba
11 M. Coco
16 R. Descamps
17 M. Sissoko

Coach: A. Kombouare

Lens

3-4-3
30 B. Samba G
4 K. Danso D
14 F. Medina D
21 M. Haïdara D
19 J. Cabot M
26 S. Samed M
8 S. Fofana M
29 P. Frankowski M
7 F. Sotoca F
11 L. Openda F
20 David Costa F
Bench (9)
18 A. Claude-Maurice
9 A. Buksa
10 G. Kakuta
23 I. Boura
6 J. Onana
13 Ł. Poręba
15 Steven Fortès
31 P. Ganiou
16 J. Leca

Coach: F. Haise

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,13
U ✓
3,53
B
2,25
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,79
U2,5 ✓
2,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Delajod · 165 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.