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Ligue 1

Referee: T Léonard

Monaco

S S S T S

4–1

Full-time

Nantes

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Nantes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 32%

50%

13%

Points per game

1,8

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

63%

50%

Both score Ø 69%

75%

63%

Average goals

3,1

2,4

Scored

1,6

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

48% Possession 52%

10 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 7

4 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Monaco 6. · Nantes 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	8	1	0	+23	25
2	Marseille	9	7	2	0	+14	23
3	Lorient	9	7	1	1	+6	22
4	Lens	8	5	3	0	+9	18
5	Rennes	9	4	3	2	+8	15
6	Monaco	8	4	2	2	+1	14
7	Lyon	8	4	1	3	+6	13
8	Lille	9	4	1	4	-1	13
9	Clermont	9	4	1	4	-2	13
10	Montpellier	9	4	0	5	+2	12
11	Troyes	9	3	2	4	-2	11
12	Toulouse	9	3	2	4	-2	11
13	Nice	9	2	2	5	-5	8
14	Auxerre	9	2	2	5	-11	8
15	Angers	9	2	2	5	-12	8
16	Nantes	8	1	4	3	-3	7
17	Reims	9	1	4	4	-7	7
18	Brest	9	1	3	5	-10	6
19	Strasbourg	9	0	5	4	-5	5
20	Ajaccio	9	1	1	7	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	5	4	1	0	+6	13
2	Lyon	5	4	0	1	+9	12
3	Lens	4	4	0	0	+6	12
4	Lorient	4	4	0	0	+5	12
5	Paris SG	4	3	1	0	+5	10
6	Rennes	4	3	0	1	+7	9
7	Montpellier	5	3	0	2	+1	9
8	Toulouse	5	2	2	1	+0	8
9	Lille	4	2	0	2	-3	6
10	Clermont	4	2	0	2	-4	6
11	Troyes	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Nantes	4	1	2	1	-1	5
13	Auxerre	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Monaco	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Angers	5	1	1	3	-6	4
16	Strasbourg	5	0	3	2	-3	3
17	Reims	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Brest	4	0	2	2	-8	2
19	Nice	4	0	1	3	-5	1
20	Ajaccio	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	5	0	0	+18	15
2	Marseille	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	Monaco	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Lorient	5	3	1	1	+1	10
5	Lille	5	2	1	2	+2	7
6	Clermont	5	2	1	2	+2	7
7	Nice	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Lens	4	1	3	0	+3	6
9	Rennes	5	1	3	1	+1	6
10	Troyes	5	2	0	3	-1	6
11	Reims	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Brest	5	1	1	3	-2	4
13	Angers	4	1	1	2	-6	4
14	Montpellier	4	1	0	3	+1	3
15	Toulouse	4	1	0	3	-2	3
16	Ajaccio	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	Auxerre	4	1	0	3	-8	3
18	Nantes	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Strasbourg	4	0	2	2	-2	2
20	Lyon	3	0	1	2	-3	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.