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Ligue 1

Referee: B Millot

Lens

S S S S T

1–1

Full-time

Rennes

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lens Rennes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,7

3,8

Scored

2,5

3,2

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+2,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

5,0

6,0

Scored

2,0

5,0

Conceded

3,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,98 xG 1,42

50% Possession 50%

15 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

11 Corners 0

1 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lens 15. · Rennes 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Monaco	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.2	6
2	Brest	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.7	6
3	Montpellier	2	1	1	0	+3	+3.1	4
4	Lille	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.5	4
5	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.7	4
6	Toulouse	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.7	4
7	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+4	+3.9	3
8	Reims	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.7	3
9	Strasbourg	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.0	3
10	Nice	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.7	2
11	Paris SG	2	0	2	0	+0	+2.0	2
12	Lorient	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.0	2
13	Le Havre	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.4	1
14	Metz	2	0	1	1	-4	-5.4	1
15	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
16	Nantes	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.4	0
17	Lyon	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.1	0
18	Clermont	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+4	+3.9	3
2	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.5	3
3	Reims	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.9	3
4	Lille	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.3	3
5	Brest	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
6	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
7	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
8	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
9	Metz	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.5	1
10	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
11	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
12	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
13	Paris SG	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
14	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
15	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
16	Clermont	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0
17	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
2	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
3	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
4	Brest	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
5	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
6	Marseille	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
7	Paris SG	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
8	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
9	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
10	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
11	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
12	Reims	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
13	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
14	Clermont	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0
15	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
16	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.5	0
17	Metz	1	0	0	1	-4	-3.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.