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Ligue 1
Referee: G Angoula
Auxerre
T S T S U
4–0
Full-time
Rennes
U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Auxerre Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 78%
89%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,4
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,79 xG 0,80
39% Possession 61%
16 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 8
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Auxerre 14. · Rennes 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 10 8 2 0 +21 +19.2 26
2 Monaco 10 6 2 2 +8 +9.8 20
3 Lille 10 5 3 2 +7 +4.4 18
4 Marseille 9 5 2 2 +10 -1.9 17
5 Nice 10 4 4 2 +10 +6.0 16
6 Lyon 10 4 3 3 +2 +3.9 15
7 Lens 10 3 5 2 +2 +2.2 14
8 Reims 10 4 2 4 +1 -4.0 14
9 Strasbourg 10 3 4 3 +0 -0.9 13
10 Brest 10 4 1 5 -3 -6.0 13
11 Toulouse 10 3 3 4 +0 +6.6 12
12 Rennes 9 3 2 4 +1 +1.0 11
13 Nantes 9 2 4 3 -1 -2.5 10
14 Auxerre 9 3 1 5 -5 -3.8 10
15 Angers 10 2 4 4 -5 -4.9 10
16 St Etienne 10 3 1 6 -14 -8.8 10
17 Le Havre 9 2 0 7 -13 -8.0 6
18 Montpellier 9 1 1 7 -21 -12.2 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Auxerre Rennes
12′
ℹ️ Arnaud Kalimuendo
VAR: Goal cancelled
1–0 G. Perrin ⚽
27′
35′
🟨 Azor Matusiwa
2–0 G. Perrin ⚽
H. Traoré
39′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 M. Faye
↦ C. Wooh
46′
🔁 B. Santamaría
↦ A. Matusiwa
46′
🔁 A. Gouiri
↦ G. Kamara
L. Sinayoko 🔁
↦ T. Bair
56′
61′
🔁 L. Assignon
↦ H. Hateboer
63′
ℹ️ Arnaud Kalimuendo
VAR: Goal cancelled
64′
🟨 Mikayil Faye
3–0 L. Sinayoko ⚽
65′
73′
🔁 A. Grønbæk
↦ Jota
A. Onaiwu 🔁
↦ H. Traoré
78′
A. Dioussé 🔁
↦ K. Hoever
85′
R. Raveloson 🔁
↦ G. Perrin
85′
F. Ayé 🔁
↦ E. Owusu
85′
4–0 A. Onaiwu ⚽
L. Sinayoko
92′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Auxerre

3-4-2-1
16 D. Léon G
20 S. Diomandé D
4 Jubal D
92 C. Akpa D
23 K. Hoever M
42 E. Owusu M
27 K. Danois M
14 G. Mensah M
10 G. Perrin F
25 H. Traoré F
9 T. Bair F
Bench (9)
17 L. Sinayoko
45 A. Onaiwu
18 A. Dioussé
97 R. Raveloson
19 F. Ayé
11 E. Maddy
3 G. Osho
5 T. Pellenard
40 T. De Percin

Coach: C. Pélissier

Rennes

4-1-4-1
30 S. Mandanda G
33 H. Hateboer D
55 L. Østigård D
4 C. Wooh D
3 A. Truffert D
6 A. Matusiwa M
20 C. Gómez M
11 L. Blas M
28 G. Kamara M
27 Jota M
9 A. Kalimuendo F
Bench (9)
15 M. Faye
8 B. Santamaría
10 A. Gouiri
22 L. Assignon
7 A. Grønbæk
19 H. Meister
23 G. Gallon
17 J. James
18 A. Nagida

Coach: J. Stéphan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,45
U
3,57
B
2,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
2,06
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

G Angoula · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.