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Serie B

Referee: L Massimi

Cesena

S T T S U

1–0

Full-time

Sudtirol

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cesena Sudtirol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,5

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,8

This season — Serie B · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 36%

36%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

64%

Both score Ø 69%

73%

64%

Average goals

3,4

2,9

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

13 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cesena 8. · Sudtirol 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Spezia	12	6	6	0	+8	24
2	Sassuolo	11	6	4	1	+11	22
3	Pisa	11	6	4	1	+6	22
4	Cremonese	11	5	3	3	+4	18
5	Juve Stabia	12	4	5	3	+0	17
6	Palermo	11	4	4	3	+3	16
7	Sampdoria	11	4	3	4	+2	15
8	Cesena	11	4	3	4	+1	15
9	Bari	12	2	8	2	+2	14
10	Cosenza	11	3	5	3	-1	14
11	Brescia	11	4	2	5	-2	14
12	Catanzaro	11	2	7	2	+2	13
13	Reggiana	12	3	4	5	-2	13
14	Carrarese	12	3	4	5	-2	13
15	Mantova	11	3	4	4	-3	13
16	Sudtirol	11	4	1	6	-4	13
17	Salernitana	11	3	3	5	-3	12
18	Modena	12	2	5	5	-3	11
19	Cittadella	11	2	4	5	-9	10
20	Frosinone	11	1	5	5	-10	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Spezia	6	5	1	0	+6	16
2	Pisa	6	4	2	0	+6	14
3	Cesena	6	4	1	1	+5	13
4	Mantova	5	3	2	0	+3	11
5	Sassuolo	5	3	1	1	+5	10
6	Brescia	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Catanzaro	6	2	3	1	+4	9
8	Carrarese	6	2	3	1	+3	9
9	Modena	6	2	2	2	+1	8
10	Reggiana	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Cremonese	5	2	2	1	+1	8
12	Bari	7	1	5	1	+0	8
13	Salernitana	6	2	2	2	-1	8
14	Cosenza	6	2	2	2	-1	8
15	Juve Stabia	5	2	1	2	+0	7
16	Sampdoria	5	2	1	2	+0	7
17	Sudtirol	6	2	1	3	-2	7
18	Palermo	4	1	2	1	+1	5
19	Cittadella	5	0	4	1	-1	4
20	Frosinone	6	0	4	2	-4	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	6	3	3	0	+6	12
2	Palermo	7	3	2	2	+2	11
3	Cremonese	6	3	1	2	+3	10
4	Juve Stabia	7	2	4	1	+0	10
5	Sampdoria	6	2	2	2	+2	8
6	Spezia	6	1	5	0	+2	8
7	Pisa	5	2	2	1	+0	8
8	Bari	5	1	3	1	+2	6
9	Cosenza	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Sudtirol	5	2	0	3	-2	6
11	Cittadella	6	2	0	4	-8	6
12	Reggiana	6	1	2	3	-3	5
13	Salernitana	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Catanzaro	5	0	4	1	-2	4
15	Brescia	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Carrarese	6	1	1	4	-5	4
17	Frosinone	5	1	1	3	-6	4
18	Modena	6	0	3	3	-4	3
19	Cesena	5	0	2	3	-4	2
20	Mantova	6	0	2	4	-6	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.