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2. Bundesliga

Referee: T Bauer

Hamburg

U S S T T

1–1

Full-time

Nurnberg

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Nurnberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,0

4,5

Scored

2,2

2,7

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,8

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

80%

70%

Both score Ø 65%

70%

60%

Average goals

3,7

4,2

Scored

2,4

2,3

Conceded

1,3

1,9

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%

12 Shots 18

4 Shots on target 11

2 Blocked shots 3

10 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 11

0 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 5. · Nurnberg 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	11	7	1	3	+8	22
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	6	2	3	+5	20
3	Paderborn	10	5	4	1	+5	19
4	Karlsruhe	11	5	4	2	+3	19
5	Hamburg	10	5	3	2	+11	18
6	Hertha	11	5	2	4	+2	17
7	Elversberg	11	4	4	3	+6	16
8	Nurnberg	10	5	1	4	+4	16
9	Magdeburg	10	4	4	2	+3	16
10	FC Koln	11	4	3	4	+3	15
11	Kaiserslautern	10	4	3	3	+2	15
12	Darmstadt	11	3	4	4	+1	13
13	Greuther Furth	11	3	4	4	-4	13
14	Preußen Münster	11	2	4	5	-4	10
15	Ulm	11	2	3	6	-3	9
16	Schalke 04	11	2	3	6	-5	9
17	Braunschweig	10	2	2	6	-12	8
18	Regensburg	11	2	1	8	-25	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	6	6	0	0	+9	18
2	Hamburg	5	3	2	0	+10	11
3	Paderborn	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Elversberg	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Karlsruhe	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Nurnberg	5	3	0	2	+2	9
7	FC Koln	6	2	1	3	+4	7
8	Braunschweig	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Regensburg	6	2	1	3	-8	7
10	Darmstadt	6	1	3	2	+1	6
11	Preußen Münster	6	1	3	2	-1	6
12	Hertha	6	2	0	4	-3	6
13	Kaiserslautern	4	1	2	1	+2	5
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Greuther Furth	6	1	2	3	-7	5
16	Schalke 04	5	1	1	3	-1	4
17	Ulm	6	1	1	4	-2	4
18	Magdeburg	5	0	4	1	-3	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	5	0	1	+8	15
2	Magdeburg	5	4	0	1	+6	12
3	Hertha	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Kaiserslautern	6	3	1	2	+0	10
5	Karlsruhe	6	2	3	1	+1	9
6	Paderborn	6	2	3	1	-1	9
7	Greuther Furth	5	2	2	1	+3	8
8	FC Koln	5	2	2	1	-1	8
9	Nurnberg	5	2	1	2	+2	7
10	Hamburg	5	2	1	2	+1	7
11	Darmstadt	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Elversberg	6	1	3	2	+1	6
13	Ulm	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Schalke 04	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Hannover	5	1	1	3	-1	4
16	Preußen Münster	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Braunschweig	5	0	1	4	-13	1
18	Regensburg	5	0	0	5	-17	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.