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Superligaen

Referee: J Karlsen

Aarhus

S U U S T

2–1

Full-time

Lyngby

U U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Lyngby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 27%

46%

Points per game

1,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

46%

23%

Both score Ø 50%

54%

46%

Average goals

3,0

1,8

Scored

2,0

0,6

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,77 xG 0,71

62% Possession 38%

18 Shots 6

8 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

7 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 7

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Aarhus 4. · Lyngby 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	14	8	3	3	+6	+5.4	27
2	FC Copenhagen	13	7	4	2	+10	+9.8	25
3	Randers FC	14	6	6	2	+10	+4.6	24
4	Aarhus	13	6	5	2	+13	+1.0	23
5	Brondby	14	6	4	4	+8	+6.9	22
6	Nordsjaelland	14	6	4	4	+2	+5.3	22
7	Silkeborg	13	5	6	2	+6	-0.8	21
8	Viborg	14	4	5	5	+2	-3.6	17
9	Aalborg	13	4	2	7	-12	-8.3	14
10	Sonderjyske	14	3	2	9	-18	-11.7	11
11	Lyngby	13	1	6	6	-8	-2.7	9
12	Vejle	13	1	1	11	-19	-5.8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	7	6	0	1	+6	+5.2	18
2	Nordsjaelland	8	4	4	0	+8	+5.0	16
3	Aarhus	7	4	3	0	+11	+1.4	15
4	FC Copenhagen	6	4	2	0	+7	+5.8	14
5	Silkeborg	7	3	3	1	+3	+0.1	12
6	Randers FC	7	3	2	2	+4	+2.5	11
7	Brondby	6	3	2	1	+4	+2.7	11
8	Viborg	6	3	2	1	+3	-1.8	11
9	Aalborg	6	3	0	3	-5	-2.9	9
10	Sonderjyske	7	2	2	3	-6	-5.6	8
11	Lyngby	7	1	3	3	-4	-0.7	6
12	Vejle	7	1	1	5	-8	-1.3	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Randers FC	7	3	4	0	+6	+2.1	13
2	Brondby	8	3	2	3	+4	+4.3	11
3	FC Copenhagen	7	3	2	2	+3	+4.0	11
4	Silkeborg	6	2	3	1	+3	-0.9	9
5	Midtjylland	7	2	3	2	+0	+0.2	9
6	Aarhus	6	2	2	2	+2	-0.4	8
7	Viborg	8	1	3	4	-1	-1.9	6
8	Nordsjaelland	6	2	0	4	-6	+0.3	6
9	Aalborg	7	1	2	4	-7	-5.4	5
10	Lyngby	6	0	3	3	-4	-2.1	3
11	Sonderjyske	7	1	0	6	-12	-6.1	3
12	Vejle	6	0	0	6	-11	-4.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.