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Süper Lig

Referee: O Çakır

Trabzonspor

U S U S T

2–3

Full-time

Fenerbahce

S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Trabzonspor Fenerbahce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 45%

22%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

33%

56%

Both score Ø 45%

56%

33%

Average goals

1,9

3,0

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

0,9

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+1,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,16 xG 2,23

48% Possession 52%

14 Shots 20

4 Shots on target 9

3 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 10

3 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 12

7 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Trabzonspor 11. · Fenerbahce 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	10	9	1	0	+20	+7.8	28
2	Samsunspor	10	7	1	2	+10	+4.8	22
3	Fenerbahce	9	6	2	1	+13	+11.5	20
4	Besiktas	10	6	2	2	+9	+7.6	20
5	Eyüpspor	11	5	4	2	+6	+0.4	19
6	Sivasspor	11	5	2	4	+1	-7.6	17
7	Goztep	10	4	3	3	+4	+0.9	15
8	Buyuksehyr	10	4	3	3	+3	+2.4	15
9	Kasimpasa	11	3	5	3	-2	+0.7	14
10	Konyaspor	11	4	2	5	-4	-1.8	14
11	Trabzonspor	9	2	6	1	+1	-1.6	12
12	Gaziantep	10	3	3	4	-1	-2.1	12
13	Bodrumspor	11	3	2	6	-5	-0.8	11
14	Antalyaspor	10	3	2	5	-8	-6.9	11
15	Alanyaspor	11	2	4	5	-5	+0.8	10
16	Rizespor	10	3	1	6	-11	-2.4	10
17	Kayserispor	10	1	6	3	-6	-3.4	9
18	Hatayspor	10	0	3	7	-10	-6.7	3
19	Ad. Demirspor	10	0	2	8	-15	-3.7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	6	5	1	0	+10	+8.7	16
2	Goztep	5	4	1	0	+7	+0.9	13
3	Eyüpspor	5	4	1	0	+7	+1.8	13
4	Besiktas	5	4	0	1	+5	+6.2	12
5	Sivasspor	6	3	1	2	+1	-3.7	10
6	Fenerbahce	4	3	0	1	+4	+6.2	9
7	Buyuksehyr	4	2	2	0	+5	+2.3	8
8	Trabzonspor	4	2	2	0	+2	-0.5	8
9	Gaziantep	5	2	2	1	+2	-0.6	8
10	Konyaspor	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.8	8
11	Bodrumspor	6	2	1	3	+1	+0.9	7
12	Samsunspor	5	2	1	2	+0	+1.7	7
13	Antalyaspor	5	2	1	2	-3	-3.7	7
14	Alanyaspor	6	1	3	2	-1	+1.2	6
15	Rizespor	5	1	1	3	-6	-1.3	4
16	Kayserispor	5	0	3	2	-4	-1.1	3
17	Kasimpasa	6	0	3	3	-6	+0.0	3
18	Hatayspor	5	0	2	3	-5	-2.7	2
19	Ad. Demirspor	5	0	0	5	-11	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Samsunspor	5	5	0	0	+10	+3.1	15
2	Galatasaray	4	4	0	0	+10	-0.9	12
3	Fenerbahce	5	3	2	0	+9	+5.3	11
4	Kasimpasa	5	3	2	0	+4	+0.6	11
5	Besiktas	5	2	2	1	+4	+1.3	8
6	Sivasspor	5	2	1	2	+0	-3.9	7
7	Buyuksehyr	6	2	1	3	-2	+0.1	7
8	Eyüpspor	6	1	3	2	-1	-1.4	6
9	Kayserispor	5	1	3	1	-2	-2.3	6
10	Konyaspor	6	2	0	4	-5	-2.6	6
11	Rizespor	5	2	0	3	-5	-1.1	6
12	Trabzonspor	5	0	4	1	-1	-1.1	4
13	Gaziantep	5	1	1	3	-3	-1.6	4
14	Alanyaspor	5	1	1	3	-4	-0.4	4
15	Antalyaspor	5	1	1	3	-5	-3.2	4
16	Bodrumspor	5	1	1	3	-6	-1.7	4
17	Goztep	5	0	2	3	-3	-0.0	2
18	Ad. Demirspor	5	0	2	3	-4	-2.8	2
19	Hatayspor	5	0	1	4	-5	-4.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.