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Super League

Referee: M Turkes

Lugano

U T S S U

2–0

Full-time

Yverdon

S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Yverdon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,61 xG 0,55

61% Possession 39%

19 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 2

16 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 4. · Yverdon 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	13	7	4	2	+7	-1.0	25
2	Servette	13	7	3	3	+2	+0.9	24
3	Basel	13	7	1	5	+17	+9.0	22
4	Lugano	12	6	4	2	+5	-0.3	22
5	Lausanne	13	6	2	5	+3	+9.1	20
6	Luzern	12	5	4	3	+4	+0.6	19
7	St. Gallen	13	4	5	4	+5	-3.1	17
8	Yverdon	12	4	3	5	-5	-7.7	15
9	Sion	13	3	5	5	-2	+6.6	14
10	Young Boys	13	3	4	6	-6	-1.9	13
11	Grasshoppers	12	2	3	7	-8	+1.1	9
12	Winterthur	13	2	2	9	-22	-13.4	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lausanne	7	5	0	2	+7	+8.1	15
2	Lugano	6	4	1	1	+5	+1.7	13
3	Servette	6	4	1	1	+1	+0.5	13
4	St. Gallen	7	3	3	1	+7	+0.4	12
5	Basel	6	4	0	2	+6	+6.9	12
6	Zurich	7	3	3	1	+3	-2.3	12
7	Sion	7	2	4	1	+4	+8.5	10
8	Luzern	6	3	1	2	+3	+4.0	10
9	Yverdon	6	3	1	2	-1	-1.7	10
10	Young Boys	6	2	2	2	+0	-4.3	8
11	Winterthur	6	2	1	3	-7	-3.8	7
12	Grasshoppers	6	1	3	2	-2	+3.2	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	6	4	1	1	+4	+1.3	13
2	Servette	7	3	2	2	+1	+0.3	11
3	Basel	7	3	1	3	+11	+2.2	10
4	Luzern	6	2	3	1	+1	-3.4	9
5	Lugano	6	2	3	1	+0	-1.9	9
6	St. Gallen	6	1	2	3	-2	-3.5	5
7	Yverdon	6	1	2	3	-4	-6.0	5
8	Lausanne	6	1	2	3	-4	+1.0	5
9	Young Boys	7	1	2	4	-6	+2.5	5
10	Sion	6	1	1	4	-6	-1.9	4
11	Grasshoppers	6	1	0	5	-6	-2.1	3
12	Winterthur	7	0	1	6	-15	-9.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.