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Ligue 1
Referee: R Buquet
Monaco
U U S S T
3–1
Full-time
Le Havre
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Le Havre
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,76 xG 0,60
74% Possession 26%
13 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
5 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Apr -25 Le Havre – Monaco 1–1 22. Sep -24 Monaco – Le Havre 3–1 4. Feb -24 Monaco – Le Havre 1–1 11. Nov -23 Le Havre – Monaco 0–0

Match report

Monaco Le Havre
0–1 G. Lloris ⚽
own goal
32′
Half-time 0–1
58′
🔁 F. Doucoure
↦ Y. Namli
58′
🔁 A. Samatta
↦ S. Ebonog
1–1 E. Dier ⚽
L. Camara
61′
Vanderson 🔁
↦ J. Teze
63′
E. Ben Seghir 🔁
↦ L. Camara
63′
67′
⚽ R. Ndiaye 1–2
Y. Kechta
2–2 M. Akliouche ⚽
D. Zakaria
74′
78′
🔁 G. Kyeremeh
↦ A. Sangante
78′
🔁 F. Mambimbi
↦ E. Youte Kinkoue
79′
🔁 D. N. Mosengo
↦ R. Ndiaye
P. Brunner 🔁
↦ M. Biereth
80′
G. Ilenikhena 🔁
↦ T. Minamino
81′
89′
🟨 Gautier Lloris
A. Bamba 🔁
↦ A. Golovin
89′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Monaco

4-2-3-1
1 L. Hradecky G
4 J. Teze D
3 E. Dier D
13 C. Mawissa D
12 Caio Henrique D
15 L. Camara M
6 D. Zakaria M
11 M. Akliouche M
18 T. Minamino M
10 A. Golovin M
14 M. Biereth F
Bench (9)
16 P. Kohn
20 K. Ouattara
5 T. Kehrer
17 W. Singo
2 Vanderson
23 A. Bamba
7 E. Ben Seghir
19 G. Ilenikhena
29 P. Brunner

Coach: Sebastien Pocognoli

Le Havre

4-1-4-1
99 M. Diaw G
93 A. Sangante D
15 A. Seko D
4 G. Lloris D
18 Y. Zouaoui D
6 E. Youte Kinkoue M
21 Y. Namli M
26 S. Ebonog M
14 R. Ndiaye M
8 Y. Kechta M
45 I. Soumare F
Bench (9)
77 L. Mpasi-Nzau
13 F. Doucoure
33 G. Gomis
44 I. Bouneb
78 D. N. Mosengo
24 G. Zohouri
11 G. Kyeremeh
10 F. Mambimbi
70 A. Samatta

Coach: Didier Digard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,33
🔒
U
5,23
🔒
B
8,08
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,51
🔒
U2,5
2,44
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Buquet · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.