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Ligue 1
Referee: A Kherradji
Auxerre
T S T U T
1–0
Full-time
Lorient
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Auxerre Lorient
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,8
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,44 xG 1,37
44% Possession 56%
7 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Feb -23 Lorient – Auxerre 0–1 16. Sep -22 Auxerre – Lorient 1–3 13. Dec -19 Lorient – Auxerre 1–0

Match report

Auxerre Lorient
19′
🟨 Pablo Pagis
45′
🟨 Igor Silva
Half-time 1–0
1–0 L. Sinayoko ⚽
I. Osman
53′
Marvin Senaya 🟨
61′
65′
🔁 S. Soumano
↦ M. Bamba
66′
🔁 P. Katseris
↦ J. Mvuka Mugisha
66′
🔁 D. Karim
↦ P. Pagis
Josué Casimir ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
67′
75′
🔁 D. Yongwa
↦ A. Kouassi
R. Matondo 🔁
↦ I. Osman
82′
L. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ J. Casimir
82′
Elisha Owusu 🟨
87′
T. Bair 🔁
↦ L. Sinayoko
88′
F. Oppegard 🔁
↦ G. Mensah
90′
Fredrik Oppegård 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Auxerre

5-4-1
16 D. Leon G
29 M. Senaya D
3 G. Osho D
4 F. Sierralta D
92 C. Akpa D
14 G. Mensah D
7 J. Casimir M
42 E. Owusu M
5 K. Danois M
23 I. Osman M
10 L. Sinayoko F
Bench (9)
40 T. De Percin
6 S. Agouzoul
22 F. Oppegard
27 L. Sy
18 A. Diousse
34 R. Matondo
9 T. Bair
21 L. Coulibaly
45 A. Onaiwu

Coach: Christophe Pelissier

Lorient

3-4-3
21 B. Kamara G
5 F. Mendy D
3 M. Talbi D
2 Igor Silva D
93 J. Mvuka Mugisha M
62 A. Avom M
6 L. Abergel M
43 A. Kouassi M
15 A. Tosin F
9 M. Bamba F
10 P. Pagis F
Bench (9)
1 B. Leroy
77 P. Katseris
97 S. Siba
44 D. Yongwa
29 D. Karim
11 T. Le Bris
33 L. Leaudais
17 J. Makengo
28 S. Soumano

Coach: Olivier Pantaloni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,32
🔒
U
3,35
🔒
B
2,96
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,90
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,85
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Kherradji · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.