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Eredivisie
Referee: Sander van der Eijk
1–2
Full-time
Groningen
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 37%
32%
41%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
68%
32%
Both score Ø 50%
59%
41%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

57% Possession 43%
9 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 11. · Groningen 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 21 16 2 3 +43 50
2 AZ Alkmaar 22 15 2 5 +29 47
3 PSV Eindhoven 23 12 6 5 +24 42
4 Feyenoord 21 11 7 3 +11 40
5 Willem II 22 12 4 6 +5 40
6 Vitesse 23 11 5 7 +11 38
7 Utrecht 21 10 4 7 +12 34
8 Groningen 22 9 5 8 +4 32
9 Heracles 23 8 5 10 +3 29
10 Heerenveen 23 7 8 8 +1 29
11 Sparta Rotterdam 22 7 6 9 -4 27
12 Twente 23 7 6 10 -9 27
13 FC Emmen 23 7 5 11 -14 26
14 For Sittard 23 6 6 11 -22 24
15 VVV Venlo 23 7 3 13 -25 24
16 Zwolle 22 6 4 12 -16 22
17 Den Haag 23 4 5 14 -25 17
18 Waalwijk 22 3 3 16 -28 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Groningen
D. Abels 🔁
↦ A. Auassar
12′
16′
🟨 Mike te Wierik
22′
⚽ J. Asoro 0–1
R. Lundqvist
32′
⚽ R. Lundqvist 0–2
D. Zeefuik
44′
🔁 K. Itakura
↦ D. Warmerdam
Half-time 1–2
1–2 M. Rayhi ⚽
49′
L. Duarte 🔁
↦ D. Rigo
52′
56′
🔁 A. El Messaoudi
↦ D. van Kaam
J. Piroe 🔁
↦ L. Faye
75′
78′
🔁 S. Memišević
↦ A. Hrustic
Laros Duarte 🟨
80′
Abdou Harroui 🟨
83′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-3-1-2
1 A. Harush G
2 Jeffry Fortes D
3 B. Vriends D
4 J. Mattheij D
5 L. Faye D
8 A. Auassar M
10 B. Smeets M
6 D. Rigo M
7 A. Harroui M
11 M. Rayhi F
9 P. Joosten F
Bench (8)
16 D. Abels
14 L. Duarte
13 J. Piroe
20 T. Coremans
17 Mica Pinto
15 D. Duarte
12 K. Karami
30 M. Fabrie

Coach: H. Fraser

Groningen

4-2-3-1
1 S. Padt G
3 B. van Hintum D
4 M. te Wierik D
21 D. Warmerdam D
42 D. Zeefuik D
23 A. Hrustic M
10 R. Lundqvist M
6 A. Matusiwa M
26 D. van Kaam M
11 J. Asoro M
9 D. Redan F
Bench (12)
17 K. Itakura
18 A. El Messaoudi
5 S. Memišević
52 T. Suslov
8 S. Schreck
16 J. Hoekstra
51 K. Slor
29 R. Postema
19 N. Jakobsen
46 T. Poll
32 M. van Duin
28 T. Sopacua

Coach: D. Buijs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,53
U
3,23
B ✓
2,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
2,03
U2,5
1,78
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Sander van der Eijk · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.