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Eredivisie
Referee: A Lindhout
Den Haag
T T T S T
2–2
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
S U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Den Haag AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
4,3
Scored
0,7
2,7
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 5/4 matches
Win Ø 10%
20%
0%
Points per game
0,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
40%
75%
Both score Ø 70%
40%
100%
Average goals
2,8
5,0
Scored
0,8
2,5
Conceded
2,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

41% Possession 59%
9 Shots 23
3 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 8
3 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Den Haag 15. · AZ Alkmaar 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 6 5 0 1 +21 15
2 Vitesse 6 5 0 1 +8 15
3 PSV Eindhoven 6 4 1 1 +7 13
4 Heerenveen 6 4 1 1 +5 13
5 Feyenoord 5 3 2 0 +7 11
6 Twente 6 3 2 1 +6 11
7 Groningen 6 3 1 2 +0 10
8 Utrecht 5 2 3 0 +3 9
9 Zwolle 6 1 3 2 -1 6
10 Willem II 6 1 2 3 -4 5
11 Waalwijk 6 1 2 3 -5 5
12 Heracles 6 1 2 3 -6 5
13 VVV Venlo 6 1 2 3 -13 5
14 AZ Alkmaar 4 0 4 0 +0 4
15 Den Haag 5 1 0 4 -6 3
16 FC Emmen 6 0 3 3 -7 3
17 Sparta Rotterdam 5 0 2 3 -7 2
18 For Sittard 6 0 2 4 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Den Haag AZ Alkmaar
33′
A. Guðmundsson 0–1
D. de Wit
Half-time 0–1
V. Besuijen 🔁
↦ A. Ćatić
46′
Kees de Boer 🟨
47′
I. Elmkies 🔁
↦ K. de Boer
59′
60′
🟨 Dani De Wit
1–1 M. van Ewijk
J. Goossens
64′
66′
J. Karlsson 1–2
N. Karelis 🔁
↦ J. Arweiler
71′
M. Kramer 🔁
↦ D. Philipp
82′
R. Morrison 🔁
↦ J. Goossens
82′
82′
🔁 R. Leeuwin
↦ A. Guðmundsson
2–2 M. Kramer
M. van Ewijk
87′
Vicente Besuijen 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Den Haag

4-3-3
1 L. Koopmans G
3 P. Bijen D
43 L. Faye D
19 S. Pinas D
2 M. van Ewijk D
8 J. Goossens M
6 D. Rigo M
18 D. Philipp F
14 K. de Boer M
9 J. Arweiler F
34 A. Ćatić F
Bench (12)
20 V. Besuijen
10 I. Elmkies
17 N. Karelis
29 M. Kramer
5 R. Morrison
4 B. Kemper
11 S. Bourard
23 Pascu
15 D. Del Fabro
22 R. Zwinkels
21 B. Ould-Chikh
7 A. Rațiu

Coach: A. Ranković

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1
1 M. Bizot G
15 B. Martins Indi D
3 P. Chatzidiakos D
5 O. Wijndal D
26 Y. Sugawara D
6 F. Midtsjø M
10 D. de Wit M
8 T. Koopmeiners M
28 A. Guðmundsson F
11 J. Karlsson M
7 C. Stengs M
Bench (8)
27 R. Leeuwin
44 Y. Barasi
66 A. Krul
32 D. Kunst
48 F. De Jong
40 M. Gullit
51 T. Velthuis
56 Elber Evora

Coach: A. Slot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,06
U ✓
3,97
B
1,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,60
U2,5
2,31
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.