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Eredivisie
Referee: S van der Eijk
Heerenveen
S S S U T
4–0
Full-time
FC Emmen
T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen FC Emmen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
60%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 80%
60%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,4
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%
14 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Heerenveen 6. · FC Emmen 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 6 5 0 1 +21 15
2 PSV Eindhoven 5 4 1 0 +8 13
3 Vitesse 5 4 0 1 +7 12
4 Twente 6 3 2 1 +6 11
5 Feyenoord 4 3 1 0 +7 10
6 Heerenveen 5 3 1 1 +1 10
7 Utrecht 5 2 3 0 +3 9
8 Groningen 5 2 1 2 -2 7
9 Zwolle 6 1 3 2 -1 6
10 Willem II 6 1 2 3 -4 5
11 VVV Venlo 6 1 2 3 -13 5
12 AZ Alkmaar 4 0 4 0 +0 4
13 Waalwijk 5 1 1 3 -5 4
14 Heracles 5 1 1 3 -6 4
15 FC Emmen 5 0 3 2 -3 3
16 Den Haag 5 1 0 4 -6 3
17 For Sittard 5 0 2 3 -6 2
18 Sparta Rotterdam 4 0 1 3 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heerenveen FC Emmen
Jan Paul van Hecke 🟨
3′
1–0 H. Veerman
B. Nygren
26′
2–0 B. Nygren
H. Veerman
29′
Half-time 2–0
47′
🟨 Simon Tibbling
52′
🟨 Michael De Leeuw
52′
🟨 Simon Tibbling
52′
🟥 Simon Tibbling
3–0 R. Kongolo
O. Meier
71′
I. Dresevic 🔁
↦ J. van Hecke
72′
S. Dewaele 🔁
↦ O. Meier
72′
74′
🔁 L. Caciano
↦ M. de Leeuw
4–0 H. Veerman
J. Veerman
74′
77′
🟥 Nikolai Laursen
79′
🔁 K. Veendorp
↦ H. Ben Moussa
C. Driouech 🔁
↦ B. Nygren
80′
Sieben Dewaele 🟨
84′
R. Hajal 🔁
↦ J. Veerman
88′
U. Llanez 🔁
↦ M. van Bergen
88′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Heerenveen

4-3-3
1 E. Mulder G
5 L. Woudenberg D
25 P. Bochniewicz D
2 S. Floranus D
3 J. van Hecke D
21 R. Kongolo M
20 J. Veerman M
10 O. Meier M
9 H. Veerman F
11 M. van Bergen F
8 B. Nygren F
Bench (10)
14 I. Dresevic
15 S. Dewaele
37 C. Driouech
17 R. Hajal
7 U. Llanez
4 J. Fernández
24 J. Kroesen
18 H. Akujobi
26 R. Smit
23 J. Bekkema

Coach: J. Jansen

FC Emmen

4-3-3
26 D. Telgenkamp G
22 C. Cavlan D
5 M. Araujo D
4 N. Bakker D
23 G. Bijl D
8 M. de Leeuw F
7 S. Tibbling M
20 M. Chacón M
21 H. Ben Moussa M
10 S. Peña F
11 N. Laursen F
Bench (11)
15 L. Caciano
3 K. Veendorp
25 S. Sidibe
1 F. Wiedwald
24 L. Bernadou
32 R. de Vos
14 F. Görgülü
12 L. Carty
30 D. Payne
93 S. van der Lei
18 D. Granečný

Coach: D. Lukkien

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,74
U
4,01
B
4,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,39
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S van der Eijk · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.