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Eredivisie
Referee: L Gerrets
3–1
Full-time
Vitesse
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 21/24 matches
Win Ø 37%
52%
21%
Points per game
1,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
57%
63%
Both score Ø 46%
38%
54%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
0,9
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

61% Possession 39%
19 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 6. · Vitesse 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 24 16 7 1 +32 55
2 AZ Alkmaar 25 16 5 4 +23 53
3 Ajax 24 15 7 2 +43 52
4 PSV Eindhoven 24 15 4 5 +33 49
5 Twente 22 12 6 4 +22 42
6 Sparta Rotterdam 21 11 6 4 +15 39
7 Waalwijk 24 8 8 8 +2 32
8 Utrecht 22 8 7 7 -3 31
9 Nijmegen 24 6 12 6 +7 30
10 For Sittard 25 8 5 12 -13 29
11 Heerenveen 22 7 6 9 -6 27
12 Go Ahead Eagles 24 6 8 10 -9 26
13 Vitesse 24 5 8 11 -14 23
14 Volendam 24 6 5 13 -25 23
15 FC Emmen 25 4 9 12 -20 21
16 Excelsior 25 6 2 17 -39 20
17 Groningen 25 4 5 16 -25 17
18 Cambuur 24 4 4 16 -23 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Vitesse
7′
D. Oroz 0–1
K. Kozłowski
1–1 A. Verschueren
V. van Crooij
11′
18′
🟨 Maximilian Wittek
2–1 K. Saito
45′
Half-time 2–1
71′
🔁 G. Vidović
↦ K. Kozłowski
71′
🔁 B. Białek
↦ M. Sankoh
A. Meijers 🔁
↦ M. Pinto
74′
79′
ℹ️ Maximilian Wittek
VAR: Card upgrade
80′
🟥 Maximilian Wittek
D. Abels 🔁
↦ S. Sambo
81′
Y. Namli 🔁
↦ K. Saito
82′
85′
🔁 E. Cornelisse
↦ M. van Ginkel
3–1 J. Kitolano
V. van Crooij
87′
M. Tahiri 🔁
↦ V. van Crooij
95′
P. Brouwer 🔁
↦ A. Verschueren
95′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-2-3-1
1 N. Olij G
2 S. Sambo D
3 B. Vriends D
4 M. Eerdhuijzen D
5 M. Pinto D
6 J. van Mullem M
8 J. Kitolano M
7 V. van Crooij M
10 A. Verschueren M
11 K. Saito M
9 T. Lauritsen F
Bench (10)
15 A. Meijers
12 D. Abels
17 Y. Namli
18 M. Tahiri
14 P. Brouwer
20 D. van Crooij
19 E. Melkersen
30 T. Coremans
13 R. Meissen
16 Pedro Alemañ

Coach: M. Steijn

Vitesse

4-2-3-1
16 K. Scherpen G
3 R. Flamingo D
6 D. Oroz D
20 M. Meulensteen D
32 M. Wittek D
15 M. van Ginkel M
8 S. Tronstad M
42 M. Manhoef M
21 M. Bero M
17 K. Kozłowski M
9 M. Sankoh F
Bench (11)
10 G. Vidović
14 B. Białek
13 E. Cornelisse
24 J. Houwen
18 T. Hájek
27 R. Yapi
22 T. Domgjoni
2 C. Arcus
33 D. Reiziger
26 M. Jonathans
53 S. van Duivenbooden

Coach: P. Cocu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,45
U
3,30
B
2,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,11
U2,5
1,72
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Gerrets · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.