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Ligue 2

Referee: A Petit

Valenciennes

S T U U U

2–2

Full-time

Bastia

T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valenciennes Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 37%

27%

46%

Points per game

1,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 31%

35%

27%

Both score Ø 41%

50%

31%

Average goals

2,1

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%

9 Shots 21

4 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 20

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valenciennes 13. · Bastia 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	26	15	10	1	+25	55
2	Bordeaux	27	13	8	6	+15	47
3	Sochaux	27	13	7	7	+20	46
4	Metz	26	12	8	6	+16	44
5	Bastia	26	12	5	9	+1	41
6	Caen	26	10	10	6	+5	40
7	Quevilly Rouen	26	10	9	7	+4	39
8	Grenoble	26	10	8	8	+3	38
9	Amiens	25	10	6	9	+0	36
10	St Etienne	26	9	7	10	-2	34
11	Guingamp	26	9	7	10	-3	34
12	Annecy	26	8	8	10	-3	32
13	Valenciennes	26	7	11	8	-5	32
14	Paris FC	25	8	7	10	-4	31
15	Laval	26	9	4	13	-8	31
16	Pau FC	26	6	9	11	-11	27
17	Dijon	26	6	8	12	-7	26
18	Rodez	26	5	10	11	-11	25
19	Nimes	26	6	5	15	-16	23
20	Niort	26	6	5	15	-19	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	13	9	4	0	+14	31
2	Sochaux	14	8	4	2	+17	28
3	Caen	13	7	5	1	+11	26
4	Bastia	14	8	2	4	+6	26
5	Bordeaux	13	7	4	2	+9	25
6	Metz	13	6	5	2	+7	23
7	Valenciennes	13	5	8	0	+6	23
8	Grenoble	13	6	4	3	+3	22
9	Quevilly Rouen	13	5	6	2	+6	21
10	Amiens	13	6	3	4	+3	21
11	St Etienne	13	6	3	4	+2	21
12	Dijon	14	5	5	4	+1	20
13	Annecy	13	6	2	5	+0	20
14	Laval	13	5	2	6	+0	17
15	Nimes	12	5	1	6	-3	16
16	Pau FC	12	3	5	4	-4	14
17	Niort	13	4	2	7	-7	14
18	Paris FC	12	3	3	6	-4	12
19	Guingamp	13	3	3	7	-5	12
20	Rodez	13	1	5	7	-11	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	13	6	6	1	+11	24
2	Bordeaux	14	6	4	4	+6	22
3	Guingamp	13	6	4	3	+2	22
4	Metz	13	6	3	4	+9	21
5	Paris FC	13	5	4	4	+0	19
6	Sochaux	13	5	3	5	+3	18
7	Quevilly Rouen	13	5	3	5	-2	18
8	Rodez	13	4	5	4	+0	17
9	Grenoble	13	4	4	5	+0	16
10	Amiens	12	4	3	5	-3	15
11	Bastia	12	4	3	5	-5	15
12	Caen	13	3	5	5	-6	14
13	Laval	13	4	2	7	-8	14
14	St Etienne	13	3	4	6	-4	13
15	Pau FC	14	3	4	7	-7	13
16	Annecy	13	2	6	5	-3	12
17	Valenciennes	13	2	3	8	-11	9
18	Niort	13	2	3	8	-12	9
19	Nimes	14	1	4	9	-13	7
20	Dijon	12	1	3	8	-8	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.