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Primeira Liga

Referee: Manuel Mota

Chaves

S U T T T

2–0

Full-time

Portimonense

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chaves Portimonense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 31%

26%

35%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

39%

Both score Ø 44%

57%

30%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%

13 Shots 19

8 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 7

3 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 11

5 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Chaves 13. · Portimonense 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	23	20	2	1	+45	62
2	Porto	24	18	3	3	+38	57
3	Sp Braga	23	17	1	5	+28	52
4	Sp Lisbon	23	15	2	6	+23	47
5	Guimaraes	23	12	4	7	+2	40
6	Casa Pia	23	10	5	8	-3	35
7	Arouca	23	9	7	7	-5	34
8	Boavista	23	8	6	9	-8	30
9	Vizela	23	8	5	10	+3	29
10	Gil Vicente	23	8	5	10	-4	29
11	Rio Ave	23	7	6	10	-6	27
12	Famalicao	23	8	3	12	-9	27
13	Chaves	23	6	8	9	-9	26
14	Portimonense	23	8	2	13	-11	26
15	Estoril	24	6	4	14	-16	22
16	Maritimo	23	4	4	15	-25	16
17	Santa Clara	23	3	6	14	-18	15
18	Pacos Ferreira	23	3	3	17	-25	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	12	11	1	0	+28	34
2	Porto	12	10	0	2	+26	30
3	Sp Lisbon	11	9	0	2	+22	27
4	Guimaraes	12	8	2	2	+6	26
5	Sp Braga	11	8	1	2	+17	25
6	Arouca	12	7	1	4	+3	22
7	Boavista	12	5	5	2	+0	20
8	Rio Ave	11	6	1	4	+4	19
9	Famalicao	11	6	1	4	+3	19
10	Casa Pia	12	5	3	4	+1	18
11	Portimonense	12	5	2	5	-1	17
12	Gil Vicente	12	4	4	4	+0	16
13	Vizela	11	4	2	5	+3	14
14	Chaves	11	2	5	4	-3	11
15	Maritimo	11	3	2	6	-3	11
16	Estoril	11	3	2	6	-9	11
17	Santa Clara	12	2	4	6	-10	10
18	Pacos Ferreira	12	1	2	9	-15	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	11	9	1	1	+17	28
2	Porto	12	8	3	1	+12	27
3	Sp Braga	12	9	0	3	+11	27
4	Sp Lisbon	12	6	2	4	+1	20
5	Casa Pia	11	5	2	4	-4	17
6	Vizela	12	4	3	5	+0	15
7	Chaves	12	4	3	5	-6	15
8	Guimaraes	11	4	2	5	-4	14
9	Gil Vicente	11	4	1	6	-4	13
10	Arouca	11	2	6	3	-8	12
11	Estoril	13	3	2	8	-7	11
12	Boavista	11	3	1	7	-8	10
13	Portimonense	11	3	0	8	-10	9
14	Rio Ave	12	1	5	6	-10	8
15	Famalicao	12	2	2	8	-12	8
16	Pacos Ferreira	11	2	1	8	-10	7
17	Santa Clara	11	1	2	8	-8	5
18	Maritimo	12	1	2	9	-22	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.