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Eredivisie
Referee: D Higler
1–1
Full-time
Zwolle
U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,2
Scored
2,7
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 19/20 matches
Win Ø 39%
42%
35%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
58%
65%
Both score Ø 57%
53%
60%
Average goals
3,2
3,1
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,43 xG 1,41
46% Possession 54%
16 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 4
4 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 6. · Zwolle 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 20 18 2 0 +54 +42.5 56
2 Feyenoord 20 14 4 2 +36 +39.7 46
3 Twente 21 13 5 3 +21 +11.4 44
4 AZ Alkmaar 21 10 6 5 +19 +12.3 36
5 Ajax 20 10 5 5 +11 +9.0 35
6 Go Ahead Eagles 19 8 5 6 +6 -6.0 29
7 Nijmegen 20 7 7 6 +4 -10.3 28
8 Zwolle 20 7 5 8 -2 -6.1 26
9 Sparta Rotterdam 20 7 5 8 -2 -3.8 26
10 For Sittard 20 6 6 8 -12 +1.1 24
11 Almere City 21 6 6 9 -16 -10.3 24
12 Utrecht 20 5 8 7 -7 -7.8 23
13 Heerenveen 20 6 4 10 -9 -4.7 22
14 Heracles 21 6 4 11 -21 -14.3 22
15 Excelsior 21 4 9 8 -8 -9.0 21
16 Waalwijk 21 5 3 13 -18 -8.0 18
17 Volendam 20 3 3 14 -26 -16.0 12
18 Vitesse 21 3 3 15 -30 -19.8 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles Zwolle
Half-time 0–0
S. Tengstedt 🔁
↦ O. Edvardsen
54′
58′
🟨 Bram van Polen
64′
🔁 K. de Rooij
↦ E. Reijnders
Xander Blomme 🟨
67′
70′
🔁 F. Krastev
↦ N. Fichtinger
T. Baeten 🔁
↦ J. Breum
71′
E. Llansana 🔁
↦ X. Blomme
71′
75′
🟨 Younes Namli
77′
⚽ L. Thy 0–1
F. Stokkers 🔁
↦ J. Amofa
82′
86′
🔁 A. El Azzouzi
↦ O. Velanas
Finn Stokkers ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
97′
Thibo Baeten 🟨
99′
1–1 M. Deijl ⚽
99′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-2-3-1
1 J. de Lange G
2 M. Deijl D
25 J. Amofa D
4 J. Kramer D
5 B. Kuipers D
8 E. Linthorst M
20 X. Blomme M
11 B. Adekanye M
23 O. Edvardsen M
29 J. Breum M
16 V. Edvardsen F
Bench (10)
7 S. Tengstedt
32 T. Baeten
21 E. Llansana
27 F. Stokkers
24 L. Everink
34 R. Weijenberg
15 D. James
22 E. Mulder
3 G. Nauber
30 S. Jansen

Coach: R. Hake

Zwolle

4-2-3-1
1 J. Schendelaar G
2 B. van Polen D
4 S. Kersten D
13 T. Lam D
15 A. MacNulty D
34 N. Fichtinger M
11 D. van den Berg M
7 Y. Namli M
18 O. Velanas M
23 E. Reijnders M
9 L. Thy F
Bench (12)
22 K. de Rooij
50 F. Krastev
6 A. El Azzouzi
3 L. Görlich
33 D. van der Haar
14 A. Vellios
38 T. Gijselhart
25 K. Vermeer
20 L. Czyborra
40 M. Hauptmeijer
8 S. van der Water
17 A. Fontana

Coach: J. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,73
U ✓
4,06
B
4,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
1,59
U2,5 ✓
2,33
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

D Higler · 133 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.