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Eredivisie
Referee: A Bos
5–0
Full-time
Nijmegen
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Nijmegen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,8
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 36%
36%
36%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 43%
50%
36%
Average goals
3,1
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

2,04 xG 0,66
52% Possession 48%
18 Shots 11
9 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 8. · Nijmegen 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 15 14 0 1 +44 +23.4 42
2 Ajax 14 10 3 1 +17 +10.5 33
3 Utrecht 14 10 2 2 +7 -1.9 32
4 Feyenoord 14 8 5 1 +18 +14.6 29
5 Twente 15 8 4 3 +10 +11.8 28
6 AZ Alkmaar 13 6 2 5 +3 +4.9 20
7 NAC Breda 14 6 1 7 -8 -5.7 19
8 Go Ahead Eagles 14 5 3 6 -3 +9.2 18
9 For Sittard 14 5 3 6 -4 +1.2 18
10 Nijmegen 14 5 1 8 +7 +4.6 16
11 Willem II 14 4 4 6 -1 -10.2 16
12 Heerenveen 13 4 3 6 -5 -3.3 15
13 Zwolle 14 4 3 7 -9 -12.1 15
14 Groningen 14 4 3 7 -10 -11.3 15
15 Heracles 14 3 4 7 -12 -11.7 13
16 Sparta Rotterdam 14 2 5 7 -8 +0.9 11
17 Waalwijk 14 1 3 10 -21 -14.3 6
18 Almere City 14 1 3 10 -25 -10.5 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles Nijmegen
1–0 O. Edvardsen ⚽
M. Deijl
5′
2–0 O. Edvardsen ⚽
6′
3–0 E. Llansana ⚽
J. Breum
10′
4–0 O. Edvardsen ⚽
25′
30′
🟨 Calvin Verdonk
34′
🔁 T. Ouwejan
↦ B. Nuytinck
34′
🔁 L. Lyratzis
↦ B. Pereira
Half-time 4–0
Dean James 🟨
49′
52′
🟨 Sontje Hansen
55′
🔁 M. Hoedemakers
↦ K. Ogawa
55′
🔁 B. Önal
↦ V. van Crooij
5–0 D. James ⚽
58′
C. Twigt 🔁
↦ E. Linthorst
62′
F. Stokkers 🔁
↦ V. Edvardsen
62′
S. Tengstedt 🔁
↦ J. Breum
62′
J. Dirksen 🔁
↦ J. Kramer
77′
M. Smit 🔁
↦ O. Edvardsen
77′
80′
🔁 Iván Márquez
↦ P. Sandler
Oliver Antman 🟨
91′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-2-3-1
1 L. Plogmann G
2 M. Deijl D
3 G. Nauber D
4 J. Kramer D
5 D. James D
21 E. Llansana M
8 E. Linthorst M
19 O. Antman M
7 J. Breum M
23 O. Edvardsen M
16 V. Edvardsen F
Bench (11)
6 C. Twigt
27 F. Stokkers
10 S. Tengstedt
26 J. Dirksen
9 M. Smit
24 L. Everink
29 A. Adelgaard
11 B. Adekanye
22 J. De Busser
17 M. Suray
33 N. Verdoni

Coach: P. Simonis

Nijmegen

4-2-3-1
22 R. Roefs G
2 B. Pereira D
3 P. Sandler D
17 B. Nuytinck D
24 C. Verdonk D
23 K. Sano M
71 D. Proper M
10 S. Hansen M
25 S. Ouaissa M
32 V. van Crooij M
18 K. Ogawa F
Bench (11)
5 T. Ouwejan
19 L. Lyratzis
6 M. Hoedemakers
11 B. Önal
4 Iván Márquez
7 Róber
9 K. Shiogai
20 L. Schöne
8 A. Darelas
31 R. Janse
1 S. van Gassel

Coach: R. Meijer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,03
U
3,68
B
3,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,11
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

A Bos · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.