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Pro League

Referee: J Boterberg

Beerschot VA

S T S S T

6–3

Full-time

St Truiden

U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Beerschot VA St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

5,0

2,0

Scored

2,2

0,5

Conceded

2,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,0

This season — Pro League · 9/8 matches

Win Ø 40%

67%

13%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

89%

50%

Both score Ø 64%

78%

50%

Average goals

4,2

2,4

Scored

2,1

0,8

Conceded

2,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 5–1

36% Possession 64%

15 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Beerschot VA 3. · St Truiden 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Charleroi	9	6	2	1	+9	20
2	Standard	9	6	2	1	+7	20
3	Beerschot VA	9	6	0	3	+0	18
4	Anderlecht	9	4	5	0	+8	17
5	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	9	5	2	2	+3	17
6	Club Brugge	7	5	0	2	+15	15
7	Antwerp	9	4	3	2	+4	15
8	Cercle Brugge	9	5	0	4	+4	15
9	Kortrijk	10	4	2	4	+1	14
10	Waregem	10	4	1	5	-4	13
11	Oostende	8	3	3	2	+6	12
12	Genk	8	2	5	1	+0	11
13	Mechelen	7	3	1	3	-2	10
14	Gent	9	3	0	6	-2	9
15	Eupen	8	1	5	2	-4	8
16	St Truiden	8	1	3	4	-7	6
17	Waasland-Beveren	8	1	1	6	-10	4
18	Beveren	8	1	1	6	-10	4
19	Mouscron	8	0	3	5	-9	3
20	Royal Excel Mouscron	8	0	3	5	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Beerschot VA	5	4	0	1	+4	12
2	Oostende	5	3	1	1	+7	10
3	Cercle Brugge	4	3	0	1	+6	9
4	Club Brugge	5	3	0	2	+5	9
5	Antwerp	5	2	3	0	+4	9
6	Anderlecht	5	2	3	0	+4	9
7	Charleroi	4	3	0	1	+4	9
8	Standard	4	2	2	0	+2	8
9	Kortrijk	6	2	1	3	+0	7
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	2	1	1	+0	7
11	Waregem	5	2	0	3	-3	6
12	Genk	3	1	2	0	+2	5
13	St Truiden	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Mechelen	3	1	1	1	+1	4
15	Eupen	4	1	1	2	-4	4
16	Gent	3	1	0	2	+2	3
17	Mouscron	4	0	1	3	-3	1
18	Royal Excel Mouscron	4	0	1	3	-3	1
19	Waasland-Beveren	4	0	1	3	-5	1
20	Beveren	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Standard	5	4	0	1	+5	12
2	Charleroi	5	3	2	0	+5	11
3	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Anderlecht	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Kortrijk	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Waregem	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+10	6
8	Antwerp	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Genk	5	1	3	1	-2	6
10	Cercle Brugge	5	2	0	3	-2	6
11	Mechelen	4	2	0	2	-3	6
12	Gent	6	2	0	4	-4	6
13	Beerschot VA	4	2	0	2	-4	6
14	Eupen	4	0	4	0	+0	4
15	Waasland-Beveren	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Beveren	4	1	0	3	-5	3
17	Oostende	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Mouscron	4	0	2	2	-6	2
19	Royal Excel Mouscron	4	0	2	2	-6	2
20	St Truiden	4	0	1	3	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.