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Pro League
Referee: W De Cremer
2–0
Full-time
Kortrijk
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
3,0
1,8
Conceded
0,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 1/4 matches
Win Ø 88%
100%
75%
Points per game
3,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
100%
25%
Both score Ø 13%
0%
25%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
3,0
1,5
Conceded
0,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
24 Shots 2
8 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 20
0 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kortrijk 4 3 0 1 +4 9
2 Anderlecht 3 2 1 0 +6 7
3 Charleroi 4 1 3 0 +3 6
4 Oostende 3 2 0 1 -1 6
5 Eupen 3 1 2 0 +2 5
6 Cercle Brugge 3 1 2 0 +1 5
7 Antwerp 4 1 1 2 +1 4
8 Waregem 3 1 1 1 +1 4
9 Genk 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 St Truiden 3 1 1 1 -1 4
11 Standard 3 1 1 1 -2 4
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3 0 3 0 +0 3
13 Mechelen 4 1 0 3 -3 3
14 Seraing 3 1 0 2 -4 3
15 Seraing United 3 1 0 2 -4 3
16 Club Brugge 2 0 2 0 +0 2
17 Gent 3 0 1 2 -2 1
18 Beerschot VA 3 0 1 2 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Gilloise Kortrijk
1–0 D. Vanzeir
D. Undav
9′
10′
🟨 Ante Palaversa
15′
🟨 Timothy Derijck
39′
🟨 Trent Sainsbury
43′
🟨 Lucas Rougeaux
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Fixelles
↦ A. Palaversa
46′
🔁 M. Jonckheere
↦ T. Sainsbury
2–0 S. Lynen
D. Vanzeir
52′
54′
🟨 Teddy Chevalier
64′
🟥 Mathias Fixelles
L. Amani 🔁
↦ S. Lynen
73′
73′
🔁 D. Mbayo
↦ L. Rougeaux
74′
🔁 J. Herrmann
↦ T. Chevalier
B. Nieuwkoop 🔁
↦ G. François
77′
83′
🟨 Marlos Moreno
83′
🔁 S. Sissoko
↦ K. Vandendriessche
D. Marcq 🔁
↦ L. Lapoussin
87′
F. Avenatti 🔁
↦ D. Vanzeir
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
19 G. François M
4 J. Bager D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
59 I. Kandouss D
17 T. Teuma M
6 C. Nielsen M
20 S. Lynen M
9 D. Undav F
13 D. Vanzeir F
94 L. Lapoussin M
Bench (7)
8 L. Amani
2 B. Nieuwkoop
25 D. Marcq
90 F. Avenatti
7 M. Sorinola
16 C. Burgess
33 T. Herbots

Coach: F. Mazzù

Kortrijk

5-4-1
31 M. Ilić G
76 T. Derijck D
5 T. Sainsbury D
30 K. D'Haene D
6 L. Rougeaux D
2 G. Dewaele D
26 K. Vandendriessche M
8 A. Palaversa M
9 T. Chevalier F
29 M. Moreno M
10 F. Selemani M
Bench (7)
11 M. Fixelles
27 M. Jonckheere
7 D. Mbayo
39 J. Herrmann
14 S. Sissoko
66 A. Radovanović
28 J. Delle

Coach: L. Elsner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,65
U
4,02
B
4,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,83
U2,5 ✓
1,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W De Cremer · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.