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Eredivisie
Referee: J Kooij
Waalwijk
T T U S T
1–0
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
2,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

28% Possession 72%
7 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. May -21 Waalwijk – AZ Alkmaar 1–3 1. Nov -20 AZ Alkmaar – Waalwijk 3–0 31. Jan -20 AZ Alkmaar – Waalwijk 4–0 11. Aug -19 Waalwijk – AZ Alkmaar 0–2

Match report

Waalwijk AZ Alkmaar
1–0 M. Kramer ⚽
J. Gaari
45′
Half-time 1–0
J. Odgaard 🔁
↦ I. Bel Hassani
60′
60′
🔁 T. Koopmeiners
↦ T. Reijnders
60′
🔁 V. Pavlidis
↦ J. Karlsson
S. Adewoye 🔁
↦ T. Lutonda
70′
74′
🔁 H. Evjen
↦ Z. Aboukhlal
74′
🔁 F. Midtsjø
↦ J. Clasie
75′
🟨 Albert Guðmundsson
F. Stokkers 🔁
↦ M. Kramer
76′
A. El Bouchataoui 🔁
↦ R. van der Venne
76′
80′
🔁 E. Poku
↦ A. Guðmundsson
89′
🟨 Yukinari Sugawara
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Waalwijk

4-2-3-1
21 Joel Pereira G
28 A. Büttner M
2 J. Gaari D
59 A. Touba D
5 T. Lutonda D
3 M. Meulensteen D
11 I. Bel Hassani M
10 R. van der Venne M
22 S. Bakari M
8 A. Azhil M
29 M. Kramer F
Bench (11)
7 J. Odgaard
4 S. Adewoye
9 F. Stokkers
14 A. El Bouchataoui
1 E. Vaessen
31 I. El Maach
33 Y. Oukili
20 L. Daneels
15 L. Nieuwpoort
26 S. Augustijns
12 H. Mulder

Coach: J. Oosting

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1
12 H. Verhulst G
4 B. Martins Indi D
22 T. Letschert D
25 T. Oosting D
2 Y. Sugawara D
20 J. Clasie M
28 A. Guðmundsson F
10 D. de Wit M
24 T. Reijnders M
11 J. Karlsson M
17 Z. Aboukhlal M
Bench (12)
8 T. Koopmeiners
21 V. Pavlidis
18 H. Evjen
6 F. Midtsjø
36 E. Poku
3 P. Chatzidiakos
27 M. Gullit
15 A. Witry
54 S. Westerveld
31 S. Beukema
16 B. Reus
29 P. Koopmeiners

Coach: P. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
6,33
🔒
U
4,77
🔒
B
1,45
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,47
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,65
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Kooij · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.