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Pro League
Referee: K Van Damme
Genk
S S U T S
4–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
2,3
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,8
This season — Pro League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%
21 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 6
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 10. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oostende 5 4 0 1 +1 12
2 Kortrijk 5 3 0 2 +2 9
3 Eupen 4 2 2 0 +3 8
4 Anderlecht 3 2 1 0 +6 7
5 St. Gilloise 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Charleroi 4 1 3 0 +3 6
7 Cercle Brugge 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Antwerp 4 1 1 2 +1 4
9 Waregem 3 1 1 1 +1 4
10 Genk 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Standard 3 1 1 1 -2 4
12 St Truiden 4 1 1 2 -2 4
13 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3 0 3 0 +0 3
14 Mechelen 4 1 0 3 -3 3
15 Seraing 4 1 0 3 -5 3
16 Seraing United 4 1 0 3 -5 3
17 Club Brugge 2 0 2 0 +0 2
18 Gent 3 0 1 2 -2 1
19 Beerschot VA 3 0 1 2 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1–0 T. Bongonda
G. Arteaga
3′
16′
🟨 Cenk Özkaçar
Half-time 1–0
K. Thorstvedt 🔁
↦ M. Trésor
46′
46′
🔁 Musa Al-Taamari
↦ B. Bese
Jhon Lucumi 🟨
49′
53′
🟨 Siebe Schrijvers
2–0 P. Onuachu
59′
63′
🟨 Mandela Keita
67′
🔁 D. Vekemans
↦ M. Maertens
70′
🟨 Sébastien Dewaest
71′
🟨 Thomas Henry
3–0 J. Ito
T. Bongonda
77′
78′
🔁 D. Ouédraogo
↦ S. Dewaest
78′
🔁 A. Allemeersch
↦ S. Schrijvers
M. McKenzie 🔁
↦ J. Lucumí
80′
B. Toma 🔁
↦ T. Bongonda
85′
4–0 K. Thorstvedt
C. Eiting
92′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
33 J. Lucumí D
46 C. Cuesta D
5 G. Arteaga D
23 D. Muñoz D
20 C. Eiting M
8 B. Heynen M
11 M. Trésor M
18 P. Onuachu F
10 T. Bongonda M
7 J. Ito M
Bench (7)
42 K. Thorstvedt
2 M. McKenzie
14 B. Toma
17 P. Hrošovský
3 Mujaid Sadick
9 C. Dessers
40 T. Leysen

Coach: J. van den Brom

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

3-4-2-1
90 R. Romo G
6 S. Dewaest D
18 B. Bese M
5 P. Ngawa D
24 C. De Norre M
35 C. Özkacar D
10 X. Mercier F
33 M. Maertens M
27 M. Keita M
8 S. Schrijvers F
9 T. Henry F
Bench (7)
11 Musa Al-Taamari
32 D. Vekemans
15 D. Ouédraogo
39 A. Allemeersch
38 O. Ravet
25 L. Patris
46 M. Taildeman

Coach: M. Brys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,48
U
4,33
B
6,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,48
U2,5
2,61
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Van Damme · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.