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Premier League
Referee: A Madley
Everton
S U T S T
3–1
Full-time
Southampton
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Everton Southampton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
14 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 8
13 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Mar -21 Everton – Southampton 1–0 25. Oct -20 Southampton – Everton 2–0 9. Jul -20 Everton – Southampton 1–1 9. Nov -19 Southampton – Everton 1–2 19. Jan -19 Southampton – Everton 2–1

Match report

Everton Southampton
22′
⚽ A. Armstrong 0–1
C. Adams
Richarlison 🟨
30′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Richarlison ⚽
A. Townsend
47′
A. Iwobi 🔁
↦ A. Townsend
70′
Abdoulaye Doucouré 🟨
76′
2–1 A. Doucouré ⚽
A. Iwobi
76′
79′
🔁 I. Diallo
↦ Oriol Romeu
80′
🔁 N. Tella
↦ T. Walcott
3–1 D. Calvert-Lewin ⚽
Richarlison
81′
Y. Mina 🔁
↦ D. Gray
83′
83′
🔁 N. Redmond
↦ R. Perraud
A. Gordon 🔁
↦ Richarlison
89′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Everton

4-2-3-1
1 J. Pickford G
23 S. Coleman D
12 L. Digne D
5 M. Keane D
4 M. Holgate D
14 A. Townsend M
6 Allan M
16 A. Doucouré M
11 D. Gray M
9 D. Calvert-Lewin F
7 Richarlison M
Bench (9)
17 A. Iwobi
13 Y. Mina
24 A. Gordon
8 F. Delph
34 N. Broadhead
15 A. Begović
2 J. Kenny
26 T. Davies
32 J. Branthwaite

Coach: Rafael Benítez

Southampton

4-4-2
1 A. McCarthy G
5 J. Stephens D
15 R. Perraud D
21 V. Livramento D
22 M. Salisu D
6 Oriol Romeu M
8 J. Ward-Prowse M
19 M. Djenepo M
32 T. Walcott M
9 A. Armstrong F
10 C. Adams F
Bench (9)
27 I. Diallo
23 N. Tella
11 N. Redmond
24 M. Elyounoussi
2 K. Walker-Peters
17 S. Armstrong
44 F. Forster
43 Y. Valery
35 J. Bednarek

Coach: R. Hasenhüttl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,97
🔒
U
3,53
🔒
B
4,04
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,07
🔒
U2,5
1,79
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Madley · 167 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.