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Bundesliga
Referee: T Reichel
Union Berlin
T S T U S
1–1
Full-time
Leverkusen
T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

33% Possession 67%
8 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 5
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Union Berlin Leverkusen
1–0 T. Awoniyi
M. Kruse
7′
12′
M. Diaby 1–1
J. Frimpong
28′
🟨 Moussa Diaby
Half-time 1–1
A. Voglsammer 🔁
↦ T. Awoniyi
63′
L. Öztunali 🔁
↦ M. Ingvartsen
64′
C. Teuchert 🔁
↦ M. Kruse
73′
76′
🔁 Paulinho
↦ N. Amiri
K. Behrens 🔁
↦ G. Haraguchi
81′
J. Ryerson 🔁
↦ C. Trimmel
82′
89′
🔁 J. Baumgartlinger
↦ E. Palacios
89′
🔁 J. Pohjanpalo
↦ P. Schick
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Union Berlin

5-3-2
1 A. Luthe G
28 C. Trimmel D
23 N. Gießelmann D
31 R. Knoche D
5 M. Friedrich D
25 T. Baumgartl D
24 G. Haraguchi M
8 R. Khedira M
10 M. Kruse F
32 M. Ingvartsen M
14 T. Awoniyi F
Bench (9)
9 A. Voglsammer
7 L. Öztunali
36 C. Teuchert
17 K. Behrens
6 J. Ryerson
26 T. Puchacz
33 S. Griesbeck
19 F. Rønnow
3 P. Jaeckel

Coach: U. Fischer

Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
1 L. Hrádecký G
4 J. Tah D
30 J. Frimpong D
5 M. Bakker D
6 O. Kossounou D
20 C. Aránguiz M
10 K. Demirbay M
11 N. Amiri M
25 E. Palacios M
14 P. Schick F
19 M. Diaby M
Bench (9)
7 Paulinho
15 J. Baumgartlinger
17 J. Pohjanpalo
3 P. Retsos
40 A. Lunev
23 M. Weiser
18 Wendell
36 N. Lomb
22 D. Sinkgraven

Coach: G. Seoane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,79
U ✓
3,36
B
2,57
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,87
U2,5 ✓
1,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Reichel · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.