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Championship
Referee: J Smith
Reading
U U T U T
2–1
Full-time
Preston
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reading Preston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
This season — Championship · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
5,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
3,0
4,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
12 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 12
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reading 21. · Preston 25.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Luton 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Hull 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Stoke 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Coventry 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Peterboro 2 1 0 1 -2 3
8 Peterborough 2 1 0 1 -2 3
9 Bournemouth 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 West Brom 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Fulham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Middlesbrough 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 QPR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Millwall 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Cardiff 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Barnsley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Bristol City 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Blackpool 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Huddersfield 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Derby 3 0 1 2 -2 1
21 Reading 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Nott'm Forest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Swansea 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
25 Preston 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reading Preston
1–0 F. Azeez
28′
Half-time 1–0
Michael Morrison 🟨
59′
61′
D. Johnson 1–1
63′
🔁 B. Potts
↦ E. Riis
Ethan Bristow 🟨
66′
2–1 J. Swift
Lucas João
69′
70′
🔁 B. Whiteman
↦ R. Ledson
81′
🔁 S. Maguire
↦ G. Cunningham
G. Puşcaş 🔁
↦ Lucas João
85′
Josh Laurent 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Reading

4-2-3-1
33 Rafael G
4 M. Morrison D
6 L. Moore D
5 T. Mcintyre D
41 E. Bristow M
17 A. Yiadom D
10 J. Swift M
28 J. Laurent M
8 A. Rinomhota M
30 F. Azeez M
18 Lucas João F
Bench (7)
47 G. Puşcaş
39 J. Clarke
37 K. Leavy
16 D. Tetek
3 T. Holmes
22 L. Southwood
19 T. Dele-Bashiru

Coach: V. Paunovic

Preston

3-5-2
12 D. Iversen G
3 G. Cunningham M
16 A. Hughes D
6 L. Lindsay D
14 J. Storey D
2 S. van den Berg M
31 S. Sinclair F
11 D. Johnson M
8 A. Browne M
18 R. Ledson M
19 E. Riis F
Bench (7)
44 B. Potts
4 B. Whiteman
24 S. Maguire
5 P. Bauer
15 J. Rafferty
1 D. Rudd
38 J. Rodwell-Grant

Coach: F. McAvoy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,20
U
3,31
B
3,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,11
U2,5
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Smith · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.