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Pro League
Referee: W De Cremer
Oostende
T T T S U
1–2
Full-time
Genk
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oostende Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
0,8
2,5
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+2,2
This season — Pro League · 9/8 matches
Win Ø 61%
33%
88%
Points per game
1,1
2,8
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
56%
75%
Both score Ø 53%
56%
50%
Average goals
2,6
3,4
Scored
1,1
2,8
Conceded
1,4
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

31% Possession 69%
12 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
2 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oostende 12. · Genk 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Antwerp 9 9 0 0 +14 27
2 Genk 8 7 1 0 +17 22
3 Club Brugge 9 6 1 2 +10 19
4 St. Gilloise 8 6 1 1 +6 19
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 10 5 2 3 +0 17
6 Anderlecht 10 5 1 4 +8 16
7 Charleroi 10 5 0 5 +0 15
8 St Truiden 9 3 4 2 +2 13
9 Standard 8 4 0 4 -2 12
10 Mechelen 10 3 2 5 +0 11
11 Gent 7 3 1 3 +2 10
12 Oostende 9 3 1 5 -3 10
13 Kortrijk 10 3 1 6 -8 10
14 Seraing 10 3 0 7 -8 9
15 Seraing United 10 3 0 7 -8 9
16 Waregem 10 2 2 6 -9 8
17 Westerlo 6 2 0 4 -5 6
18 Cercle Brugge 7 1 3 3 -6 6
19 Eupen 10 2 0 8 -10 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oostende Genk
Thierry Ambrose 🟨
-5′
1–0 F. Hornby
T. Ambrose
3′
Brecht Capon ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
6′
25′
P. Onuachu 1–1
A. Preciado
Half-time 1–1
66′
🔁 N. Castro
↦ B. El Khannouss
Kenny Rocha Santos 🔁
↦ C. McGeehan
70′
M. Berte 🔁
↦ T. Ambrose
70′
D. Atanga 🔁
↦ F. Hornby
78′
81′
🔁 A. Németh
↦ M. Trésor
81′
🔁 M. Galarza
↦ B. Heynen
T. Ndicka 🔁
↦ R. DHaese
83′
88′
D. Muñoz 1–2
A. Németh
Kenny Rocha Santos 🟨
95′
95′
🟨 Matias Galarza
David Atanga 🟥
96′
David Atanga ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
96′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Oostende

3-4-3
28 G. Hubert G
27 B. Capon D
33 A. Tanghe D
2 O. Urhoghide D
18 T. Sakamoto M
16 S. Dewaele M
8 C. McGeehan M
29 R. D'Haese M
34 N. Bätzner F
9 F. Hornby F
68 T. Ambrose F
Bench (7)
10 Kenny Rocha Santos
90 M. Berte
77 D. Atanga
7 T. Ndicka
23 A. Amade
1 D. Phillips
5 F. Katelaris

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
23 D. Muñoz D
46 C. Cuesta D
2 M. McKenzie D
5 G. Arteaga D
17 P. Hrošovský M
8 B. Heynen M
77 A. Preciado M
34 B. El Khannouss M
11 M. Trésor M
18 P. Onuachu F
Bench (7)
10 N. Castro
35 A. Németh
25 M. Galarza
40 T. Leysen
27 M. Didden
4 A. Ouattara
22 R. Carstensen

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,97
U
3,97
B ✓
1,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,55
U2,5
2,40
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W De Cremer · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.