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Pro League
Referee: K Van Damme
0–1
Full-time
Genk
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
1,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,8
This season — Pro League · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 73%
55%
90%
Points per game
1,8
2,8
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
73%
80%
Both score Ø 58%
55%
60%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
1,9
2,6
Conceded
1,6
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
19 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
11 Corners 9
4 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5. · Genk 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Antwerp 11 10 0 1 +15 30
2 Genk 10 9 1 0 +19 28
3 Club Brugge 11 7 1 3 +11 22
4 St. Gilloise 9 7 1 1 +7 22
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 11 6 2 3 +3 20
6 Anderlecht 12 6 1 5 +9 19
7 Charleroi 13 6 0 7 -1 18
8 St Truiden 12 4 4 4 +0 16
9 Standard 9 5 0 4 -1 15
10 Westerlo 10 4 2 4 -1 14
11 Gent 8 4 1 3 +6 13
12 Kortrijk 13 4 1 8 -10 13
13 Oostende 12 3 3 6 -4 12
14 Mechelen 12 3 2 7 -5 11
15 Seraing 12 3 2 7 -8 11
16 Seraing United 12 3 2 7 -8 11
17 Waregem 13 3 2 8 -12 11
18 Cercle Brugge 9 2 3 4 -3 9
19 Eupen 13 3 0 10 -17 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Genk
6′
🟨 Carlos Cuesta
16′
P. Onuachu 0–1
M. Trésor
Mathieu Maertens 🟨
34′
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson 🟨
42′
43′
🟥 Ángelo Preciado
Half-time 0–1
Mousa Al Tamari 🔁
↦ J. Þorsteinsson
46′
59′
🔁 J. Paintsil
↦ B. El Khannouss
R. Holzhauser 🔁
↦ S. Kiyine
72′
76′
🔁 M. Samatta
↦ P. Onuachu
Federico Ricca 🟨
77′
84′
🟨 Gerardo Arteaga
L. Patris 🔁
↦ J. Dom
87′
D. Ouédraogo 🔁
↦ H. Mendyl
87′
91′
🔁 A. Németh
↦ M. Trésor
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

4-4-1-1
12 V. Cojocaru G
6 J. Dom D
28 E. Pletinckx D
14 F. Ricca D
20 H. Mendyl D
13 S. Kiyine M
4 K. Malinov M
24 C. De Norre M
7 J. Þorsteinsson M
33 M. Maertens F
9 Mario González F
Bench (7)
11 Mousa Al Tamari
10 R. Holzhauser
25 L. Patris
15 D. Ouédraogo
43 N. Nsingi
29 N. Jackers
27 M. Keita

Coach: M. Brys

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
23 D. Muñoz D
46 C. Cuesta D
2 M. McKenzie D
5 G. Arteaga D
8 B. Heynen M
17 P. Hrošovský M
77 A. Preciado M
34 B. El Khannouss M
11 M. Trésor M
18 P. Onuachu F
Bench (7)
28 J. Paintsil
7 M. Samatta
35 A. Németh
25 M. Galarza
27 M. Didden
40 T. Leysen
10 N. Castro

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,30
U
4,19
B ✓
1,70
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,48
U2,5 ✓
2,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Van Damme · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.