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Pro League
Referee: L Visser
Waregem
T S S T U
1–4
Full-time
Genk
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 4/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 63%
25%
100%
Average goals
1,8
5,0
Scored
1,3
3,5
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 8
0 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waregem 4. · Genk 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Anderlecht 5 4 0 1 +8 12
2 Antwerp 4 4 0 0 +6 12
3 Charleroi 5 3 0 2 +1 9
4 Waregem 4 2 1 1 +3 7
5 St. Gilloise 4 2 1 1 -1 7
6 Kortrijk 5 2 1 2 -1 7
7 Genk 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 4 2 0 2 -1 6
9 Oostende 4 2 0 2 -1 6
10 Club Brugge 3 1 1 1 +2 4
11 Gent 2 1 1 0 +2 4
12 Cercle Brugge 2 1 1 0 +1 4
13 Mechelen 4 1 1 2 +0 4
14 St Truiden 4 0 3 1 -3 3
15 Eupen 4 1 0 3 -4 3
16 Seraing 4 0 0 4 -6 0
17 Seraing United 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem Genk
7′
ℹ️ András Németh
VAR: Penalty confirmed
9′
B. Heynen 0–1
25′
A. Németh 0–2
D. Muñoz
Borja López 🟨
27′
1–2 J. Vossen
A. Fadera
43′
44′
B. Heynen 1–3
Half-time 1–3
N. Dismas 🔁
↦ J. Vossen
46′
R. Tsouka 🔁
↦ L. Vigen
46′
Moudou Tambedou 🟨
47′
52′
D. Muñoz 1–4
M. Trésor
63′
🟨 Patrik Hrošovský
Nicolas Rommens 🟨
65′
S. Braem 🔁
↦ J. Dompé
66′
Dani Ramírez 🔁
↦ A. Ciranni
66′
66′
🔁 N. Castro
↦ B. El Khannouss
72′
🔁 A. Ouattara
↦ P. Hrošovský
72′
🔁 P. Onuachu
↦ A. Németh
Abdoulaye Sissako 🟨
73′
82′
🟨 Gerardo Arteaga
M. Sangaré 🔁
↦ A. Sissako
83′
84′
🔁 M. Galarza
↦ M. Trésor
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Waregem

4-3-3
1 S. Bossut G
14 A. Ciranni D
18 M. Tambedou D
3 Borja López D
5 O. Drambaev D
6 A. Sissako M
20 N. Rommens M
8 L. Vigen M
7 A. Fadera F
9 J. Vossen F
17 J. Dompé F
Bench (7)
26 N. Dismas
2 R. Tsouka
34 S. Braem
23 Dani Ramírez
10 M. Sangaré
25 L. Bostyn
31 L. Willen

Coach: M. Leye

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
23 D. Muñoz D
46 C. Cuesta D
2 M. McKenzie D
5 G. Arteaga D
17 P. Hrošovský M
8 B. Heynen M
28 J. Paintsil M
34 B. El Khannouss M
11 M. Trésor M
35 A. Németh F
Bench (7)
10 N. Castro
4 A. Ouattara
18 P. Onuachu
25 M. Galarza
77 A. Preciado
22 R. Carstensen
40 T. Leysen

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,11
U
4,09
B ✓
1,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,53
U2,5
2,46
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.