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Pro League
Referee: B Van Driessche
RWD Molenbeek
U S T T S
1–0
Full-time
Mechelen
T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RWD Molenbeek Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,2
This season — Pro League · 2/1 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

18 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 4
7 Corners 4
12 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match RWD Molenbeek 9. · Mechelen 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Eupen 2 1 1 0 +1 -2.7 4
2 Club Brugge 2 1 1 0 +1 +3.5 4
3 Antwerp 1 1 0 0 +6 3
4 Genk 2 1 0 1 +3 +4.1 3
5 Cercle Brugge 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.6 3
6 Gent 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.2 3
7 St Truiden 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.4 3
8 St. Gilloise 1 1 0 0 +1 +2.5 3
9 RWD Molenbeek 2 1 0 1 -3 -1.5 3
10 Mechelen 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.3 1
11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.0 1
12 Westerlo 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.0 1
13 Charleroi 2 0 1 1 -2 -2.7 1
14 Standard 1 0 0 1 -1 -2.5 0
15 Kortrijk 3 0 0 3 -8 -0.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

RWD Molenbeek Mechelen
Half-time 0–0
Rikelmi 🔁
↦ N. Dailly
46′
46′
🔁 Y. Malede
↦ N. Mukau
M. Gueye 🔁
↦ F. Da Silva
66′
70′
🔁 A. Van Hoorenbeeck
↦ D. Foulon
70′
🔁 D. Lavalée
↦ R. Belghali
70′
🔁 S. Walsh
↦ N. Storm
1–0 M. Biron
A. De Sart
74′
81′
🔁 J. Ngoy
↦ G. Hairemans
William Klaus 🟨
82′
T. Defourny 🟨
91′
S. Abe 🔁
↦ A. De Sart
92′
Rikelmi 🟨
93′
94′
🟨 Y. Malede
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

RWD Molenbeek

33 T. Defourny
19 J. Heris
26 Abner
3 F. Le Joncour
4 William Klaus
5 A. De Sart
69 F. Da Silva
6 P. Dwomoh
7 M. Biron
11 N. Dailly
77 Z. El Ouahdi
Bench (7)
27 Rikelmi
9 M. Gueye
8 S. Abe
28 G. Hubert
15 S. Diallo
23 Romildo Del Piage
20 T. Gécé

Coach: Cláudio Caçapa

Mechelen

1 G. Coucke
30 J. Vanlerberghe
27 D. Bates
23 D. Foulon
17 R. Belghali
7 G. Hairemans
16 R. Schoofs
34 N. Mukau
11 N. Storm
19 K. Mrabti
20 L. Lauberbach
Bench (7)
10 Y. Malede
18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck
14 D. Lavalée
5 S. Walsh
9 J. Ngoy
15 Y. Thoelen
28 F. Soelle Soelle

Coach: S. Defour

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,24
U
3,67
B
2,90
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,60
U2,5 ✓
2,30
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Van Driessche · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.