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Pro League
Referee: J Boterberg
Gent
T S S S U
2–1
Full-time
Eupen
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Eupen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,0
3,2
Scored
2,5
1,2
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,60 xG 1,16
44% Possession 56%
13 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 7
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 6 4 1 1 +13 +9.3 13
2 Cercle Brugge 5 4 0 1 +5 +5.5 12
3 RWD Molenbeek 7 3 2 2 -7 -5.5 11
4 Anderlecht 4 3 1 0 +3 -0.7 10
5 Antwerp 4 2 2 0 +9 +2.9 8
6 Mechelen 4 2 1 1 +4 -0.5 7
7 Eupen 6 2 1 3 -5 -6.5 7
8 St. Gilloise 3 2 0 1 +1 +2.2 6
9 Standard 6 1 3 2 +0 -4.7 6
10 Genk 4 1 2 1 +3 +6.1 5
11 St Truiden 5 1 2 2 -2 -2.9 5
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 6 1 2 3 -4 +1.9 5
13 Charleroi 7 0 4 3 -5 -3.7 4
14 Kortrijk 6 0 2 4 -11 -0.0 2
15 Westerlo 5 0 1 4 -6 -3.8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Eupen
17′
🔁 Regan Charles-Cook
↦ Y. Van Genechten
28′
M. Pantović 0–1
T. Alloh
Emmanuel Orban 🟥
45′
Half-time 0–1
T. Tissoudali 🔁
↦ A. Hjulsager
46′
S. Kums 🔁
↦ O. Gandelman
46′
Archie Brown ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
48′
1–1 S. Kums
49′
Archie Brown 🟨
51′
53′
🟨 Teddy Alloh
2–1 T. Tissoudali
58′
71′
🟨 Miloš Pantović
72′
🔁 N. Bitumazala
↦ I. Christie-Davies
J. Torunarigha 🔁
↦ M. Fofana
79′
P. Gerkens 🔁
↦ H. Cuypers
79′
80′
🔁 L. Youndje
↦ T. Alloh
80′
🔁 J. Král
↦ I. Nuhu
85′
🟨 Jan Král
87′
🟨 Alfreð Finnbogason
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Gent

3-4-1-2
1 P. Nardi G
5 I. Kandouss D
4 T. Watanabe D
3 A. Brown D
18 M. Samoise M
13 J. De Sart M
6 O. Gandelman M
19 M. Fofana M
17 A. Hjulsager F
11 H. Cuypers F
20 G. Orban F
Bench (7)
10 T. Tissoudali
24 S. Kums
23 J. Torunarigha
8 P. Gerkens
22 N. Fadiga
21 B. Agbor
33 D. Roef

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Eupen

3-4-1-2
24 G. Słonina G
28 R. Paeshuyse D
4 V. Pálsson D
3 J. Davidson D
2 Y. Van Genechten M
19 M. Pantović M
6 B. Baiye M
29 T. Alloh M
23 I. Christie-Davies F
27 A. Finnbogason F
7 I. Nuhu F
Bench (7)
10 Regan Charles-Cook
11 N. Bitumazala
34 L. Youndje
21 J. Král
30 J. Gorenc
33 A. Nurudeen
25 A. Filin

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,28
U
5,73
B
9,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,49
U2,5
2,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Boterberg · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.