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Pro League
Referee: J Lardot
Mechelen
U T T T S
2–1
Full-time
Eupen
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Eupen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,2
This season — Pro League · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
71%
64%
Both score Ø 54%
50%
57%
Average goals
3,4
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,9
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%
20 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
7 Corners 8
3 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 13. · Eupen 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 12 11 1 0 +25 34
2 Antwerp 13 11 0 2 +15 33
3 Club Brugge 13 9 1 3 +15 28
4 St. Gilloise 11 9 1 1 +14 28
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13 6 2 5 +0 20
6 Anderlecht 14 6 1 7 +7 19
7 Charleroi 15 6 1 8 -4 19
8 Cercle Brugge 12 5 3 4 +2 18
9 Standard 11 6 0 5 +0 18
10 Westerlo 12 5 2 5 -4 17
11 Gent 10 5 1 4 +7 16
12 St Truiden 13 4 4 5 -3 16
13 Mechelen 14 4 2 8 -6 14
14 Waregem 14 4 2 8 -11 14
15 Kortrijk 15 4 2 9 -12 14
16 Oostende 14 3 3 8 -12 12
17 Eupen 14 4 0 10 -15 12
18 Seraing 13 3 2 8 -9 11
19 Seraing United 13 3 2 8 -9 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Eupen
16′
K. N’Dri 0–1
N. Bitumazala
1–1 Alessio Da Cruz
22′
40′
🟨 Boris Lambert
Half-time 1–1
David Bates 🟨
49′
J. Van Hecke 🔁
↦ Alessio Da Cruz
59′
Y. Malede 🔁
↦ S. Oum Gouet
59′
David Bates 🟨
63′
David Bates 🟥
63′
69′
🔁 D. Gassama
↦ N. Bitumazala
75′
🟨 James Jeggo
2–1 J. Ngoy
76′
78′
🟨 Konan N'Dri
T. Peyre 🔁
↦ N. Storm
79′
79′
🔁 S. Soumano
↦ J. Jeggo
80′
🟨 Mubarak Wakaso
D. Wouters 🔁
↦ G. Hairemans
84′
87′
🔁 I. Nuhu
↦ G. Magnée
Rob Schoofs 🟨
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-3-3
1 G. Coucke G
5 S. Walsh D
27 D. Bates D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
21 B. Bolingoli-Mbombo D
17 S. Oum Gouet M
22 Alessio Da Cruz M
16 R. Schoofs M
7 G. Hairemans F
9 J. Ngoy F
11 N. Storm F
Bench (7)
6 J. Van Hecke
10 Y. Malede
23 T. Peyre
4 D. Wouters
28 F. Soelle Soelle
15 Y. Thoelen
18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck

Coach: S. Defour

Eupen

3-5-2
1 L. Moser G
2 Y. Van Genechten D
35 B. Lambert D
3 J. Davidson D
15 G. Magnée M
8 S. Peeters M
4 J. Jeggo M
24 M. Wakaso M
17 N. Bitumazala M
11 K. N’Dri F
9 S. Prevljak F
Bench (7)
25 D. Gassama
22 S. Soumano
7 I. Nuhu
28 R. Paeshuyse
29 T. Alloh
33 A. Nurudeen
23 I. Christie-Davies

Coach: B. Storck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,92
U
3,75
B
3,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,10
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Lardot · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.