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Pro League

Referee: Bram Van Driessche

St Truiden

U S S S U

0–3

Full-time

Westerlo

U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Westerlo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 5/4 matches

Win Ø 43%

60%

25%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

20%

75%

Both score Ø 68%

60%

75%

Average goals

2,2

4,3

Scored

1,6

1,5

Conceded

0,6

2,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,11 xG 2,34

63% Possession 37%

17 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 3

6 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 2. · Westerlo 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	5	3	2	0	+9	+9.6	11
2	St Truiden	5	3	2	0	+5	+6.2	11
3	Anderlecht	5	3	1	1	+6	+5.2	10
4	Club Brugge	4	3	0	1	+3	+3.2	9
5	Mechelen	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.8	8
6	Charleroi	4	2	1	1	+2	-0.2	7
7	Cercle Brugge	6	2	1	3	+1	+0.2	7
8	Waregem	7	2	1	4	-3	-3.6	7
9	RAAL La Louviere	7	2	1	4	-3	-6.4	7
10	Standard	5	1	2	2	-4	-3.2	5
11	Genk	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.0	4
12	Antwerp	3	1	1	1	+0	-3.5	4
13	Westerlo	4	1	0	3	-5	-1.4	3
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	0	2	-6	-1.3	3
15	Dender	6	0	1	5	-8	-8.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	RAAL La Louviere	4	2	1	1	+0	-3.2	7
2	St. Gilloise	2	2	0	0	+8	+5.4	6
3	St Truiden	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.6	6
4	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.0	6
5	Anderlecht	3	1	1	1	+2	+2.6	4
6	Charleroi	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.1	4
7	Cercle Brugge	4	1	1	2	+0	-0.9	4
8	Antwerp	3	1	1	1	+0	-3.5	4
9	Waregem	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.1	4
10	Genk	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
11	Mechelen	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.6	3
12	Westerlo	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.2	3
13	Standard	3	0	2	1	-3	-1.2	2
14	Dender	3	0	0	3	-4	-4.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.5	6
2	St Truiden	3	1	2	0	+2	+3.6	5
3	St. Gilloise	3	1	2	0	+1	+4.2	5
4	Mechelen	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.7	5
5	Cercle Brugge	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.1	3
6	Charleroi	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.3	3
7	Club Brugge	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.2	3
8	Standard	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.0	3
9	Waregem	3	1	0	2	-2	-2.5	3
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	0	2	-6	-1.3	3
11	Genk	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.1	1
12	Dender	3	0	1	2	-4	-4.2	1
13	RAAL La Louviere	3	0	0	3	-3	-3.2	0
14	Westerlo	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.