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Belgisk cup
Liège
T T S T S
0–1
Full-time
Charleroi
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liège Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Heist 4 4 0 0 +13 12
2 Jong Lede 5 3 2 0 +13 11
3 Eendracht Termien 4 3 1 0 +7 10
4 DT Borsbeke 5 3 1 1 +2 10
5 Voorde Appelterre 4 3 0 1 +8 9
6 Ninove 3 3 0 0 +6 9
7 Braine 4 3 0 1 +4 9
8 Londerzeel 4 3 0 1 +4 9
9 Oudenaarde 4 3 0 1 +4 9
10 Knokke 3 3 0 0 +4 9
11 Meix-Devant-Virton 4 3 0 1 +1 9
12 FC Du Geer 4 2 2 0 +2 8
13 Arquet 5 2 2 1 +0 8
14 Spouwen-Mopertingen 3 2 1 0 +7 7
15 Wezel 3 2 1 0 +6 7
16 Tubize 3 2 1 0 +5 7
17 City Pirates Antwerpen 3 2 1 0 +5 7
18 Schoonbeek-Beverst 4 2 1 1 +4 7
19 Cappellen 3 2 1 0 +3 7
20 RFC Wetteren 4 2 1 1 +2 7
21 Gullegem 4 2 1 1 +0 7
22 Tempo Overijse 4 2 1 1 +0 7
23 Nijlen 3 2 0 1 +4 6
24 Wilrijk 3 2 0 1 +3 6
25 Dessel Sport 3 2 0 1 +3 6
26 Turkse Rangers 3 2 0 1 +3 6
27 Westhoek 3 2 0 1 +3 6
28 RUS Binche 3 2 0 1 +3 6
29 Acren-Lessines 3 2 0 1 +3 6
30 Evelette-Jallet 3 2 0 1 +2 6
31 Rumbeke 3 2 0 1 +2 6
32 Diksmuide 3 2 0 1 +2 6
33 Erpe-Mere United 3 2 0 1 +2 6
34 Houtvenne 3 2 0 1 +2 6
35 Merelbeke 3 2 0 1 +2 6
36 Jodoigne 3 2 0 1 +1 6
37 Rotselaar 3 2 0 1 +1 6
38 Hoogstraten 3 2 0 1 +1 6
39 Lille 3 2 0 1 +1 6
40 Zwevegem Sport 3 2 0 1 +0 6
41 Marke 3 2 0 1 -1 6
42 Sporting Hasselt 2 1 1 0 +6 4
43 Elsautoise 2 1 1 0 +5 4
44 Excelsior Virton 3 1 1 1 +3 4
45 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 2 1 1 0 +3 4
46 Latem 3 1 1 1 +2 4
47 Sprimont 3 1 1 1 +2 4
48 Kosova Schaerbeek 2 1 1 0 +2 4
49 Achel 2 1 1 0 +1 4
50 FC Lebbeke 2 1 0 1 +6 3
51 Zepperen-Brustem 2 1 0 1 +6 3
52 De Kempen 2 1 0 1 +4 3
53 Liège 1 1 0 0 +4 3
54 Blankenberge 2 1 0 1 +4 3
55 Léopold 2 1 0 1 +3 3
56 Kortrijk 1 1 0 0 +3 3
57 Wallonne Ciney 2 1 0 1 +2 3
58 Wellen 2 1 0 1 +2 3
59 Crossing Schaerbeek 2 1 0 1 +2 3
60 SG-Tertre-Hautrage 2 1 0 1 +2 3
61 Turnhout 2 1 0 1 +2 3
62 Berg en Dal 2 1 0 1 +2 3
63 Albert Quévy-Mons 2 1 0 1 +2 3
64 RWD Molenbeek 1 1 0 0 +2 3
65 Beveren 1 1 0 0 +2 3
66 Olympic Charleroi 1 1 0 0 +2 3
67 Seraing United 1 1 0 0 +2 3
68 K. Lierse S.K. 1 1 0 0 +2 3
69 Biesme 2 1 0 1 +1 3
70 Richelle United 2 1 0 1 +1 3
71 Sint-Lenaarts 2 1 0 1 +1 3
72 La Calamine 2 1 0 1 +1 3
73 Etterbeek 2 1 0 1 +1 3
74 Drongen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
75 Wanze / Bas-Oha 2 1 0 1 +1 3
76 Lauwe 2 1 0 1 +1 3
77 Patro Eisden 1 1 0 0 +1 3
78 Eupen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
79 Beerschot VA 1 1 0 0 +1 3
80 Diegem Sport 2 1 0 1 +0 3
81 Berchem Sport 2 1 0 1 +0 3
82 Raeren-Eynatten 2 1 0 1 +0 3
83 Saint-Vith 2 1 0 1 +0 3
84 Messancy 2 1 0 1 +0 3
85 Club Roeselare 2 1 0 1 +0 3
86 Meux 2 1 0 1 +0 3
87 Ganshoren 2 1 0 1 +0 3
88 Thes Sport 2 1 0 1 +0 3
89 Sporting Bruxelles 2 1 0 1 -1 3
90 Mandel United 2 1 0 1 -1 3
91 Harelbeke 2 1 0 1 -1 3
92 Grand-Leez 2 1 0 1 -1 3
93 Elene-Grotenberge 2 1 0 1 -1 3
94 K. Kontich 2 1 0 1 -1 3
95 Sassport Boezinge 2 1 0 1 -2 3
96 La Hulpe 2 1 0 1 -2 3
97 Haasdonk 2 1 0 1 -2 3
98 Gosselies Sports 2 1 0 1 -2 3
99 Le Roeulx 2 1 0 1 -2 3
100 Jette 2 1 0 1 -2 3
101 Oostkamp 2 1 0 1 -2 3
102 KBSK Retie 2 1 0 1 -2 3
103 Zwarte Leeuw 2 1 0 1 -3 3
104 Hades 2 1 0 1 -4 3
105 RESC Houffaloise 2 1 0 1 -4 3
106 Sparta Petegem 2 0 2 0 +0 2
107 PAC Buzet 3 0 2 1 -1 2
108 Onhaye 1 0 1 0 +0 1
109 Antoing 1 0 1 0 +0 1
110 Tilffois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
111 Aische 1 0 1 0 +0 1
112 Meux II 1 0 1 0 +0 1
113 Stade Everois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
114 Esperanza Pelt 1 0 1 0 +0 1
115 Habay-la-Neuve 1 0 1 0 +0 1
116 Lokeren-Temse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
117 Roeselare Daisel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
118 Molenbaix 1 0 1 0 +0 1
119 Stade Verviers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
120 Huldenberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
121 Olsa Brakel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
122 Torhout 1 0 1 0 +0 1
123 Rupel Boom 1 0 1 0 +0 1
124 Entité Manageoise 2 0 1 1 -1 1
125 Ostiches 2 0 1 1 -2 1
126 Fenixx BeigHum 2 0 1 1 -2 1
127 Betekom 2 0 1 1 -2 1
128 Bioul 2 0 1 1 -3 1
129 RAS Monceau 2 0 1 1 -3 1
130 Ezaart Sport Mol 2 0 1 1 -4 1
131 Marloie Sport 2 0 1 1 -4 1
132 Sparta Waasmunster 2 0 1 1 -7 1
133 Berlaar-Heikant 1 0 0 1 -1 0
134 KRC Gent 1 0 0 1 -1 0
135 Mormont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
136 Verlaine 1 0 0 1 -1 0
137 Stockay-Warfusée 1 0 0 1 -1 0
138 Wambeek-Ternat 1 0 0 1 -1 0
139 Harre-Manhay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
140 Waterloo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
141 Zelzate 1 0 0 1 -1 0
142 HO Kalken 1 0 0 1 -1 0
143 Geel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
144 Tournai 1 0 0 1 -1 0
145 Francs Borains 1 0 0 1 -1 0
146 Zonhoven United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
147 Racing Mechelen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
148 's Gravenwezel-Schilde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
149 Luingnois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
150 Verlaine II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
151 Hannut 1 0 0 1 -1 0
152 La Louvière Centre 1 0 0 1 -1 0
153 Huy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
154 VW Hamme 1 0 0 1 -1 0
155 Bocholt 1 0 0 1 -1 0
156 Union Namur 1 0 0 1 -1 0
157 Dessel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
158 Lommel United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
159 Waremme 1 0 0 1 -1 0
160 Stade Mouscronnois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
161 Sparta Heestert 1 0 0 1 -2 0
162 Rochefort 1 0 0 1 -2 0
163 Torpedo Hasselt 1 0 0 1 -2 0
164 Loyers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
165 Olympia Wijgmaal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
166 Aubel 1 0 0 1 -2 0
167 Eendracht Aalter 1 0 0 1 -2 0
168 Libramont 1 0 0 1 -2 0
169 Tienen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
170 Oppagne-Wéris 1 0 0 1 -2 0
171 Avanti 1 0 0 1 -2 0
172 Aywaille 1 0 0 1 -2 0
173 RUS Assenois 1 0 0 1 -2 0
174 Condruzien 1 0 0 1 -2 0
175 Tongeren 1 0 0 1 -2 0
176 KSK Beveren 1 0 0 1 -2 0
177 Wanze / Bas-Oha II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
178 Landen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
179 FC Eupen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
180 Denderhoutem 1 0 0 1 -3 0
181 Ardooie 1 0 0 1 -3 0
182 Flénu 1 0 0 1 -3 0
183 Sint-Denijs Sport 1 0 0 1 -3 0
184 Berlare 1 0 0 1 -3 0
185 Witgoor Sport 1 0 0 1 -3 0
186 Bevel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
187 Rochefort II 1 0 0 1 -4 0
188 Grobbendonk 1 0 0 1 -4 0
189 Longlier 1 0 0 1 -4 0
190 Pepingen-Halle 1 0 0 1 -4 0
191 Herk 1 0 0 1 -4 0
192 Galmaarden 1 0 0 1 -4 0
193 Union Momalloise 1 0 0 1 -4 0
194 Noduwez 1 0 0 1 -5 0
195 Herent 1 0 0 1 -5 0
196 Chevetogne 1 0 0 1 -5 0
197 Elewijt 1 0 0 1 -5 0
198 Eeklo Meetjesland 1 0 0 1 -5 0
199 Noordstar Noorderwijk 1 0 0 1 -6 0
200 Munkzwalm 1 0 0 1 -8 0
201 Wallonia Libin 1 0 0 1 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Liège Charleroi
30′
🟨 E. Camara
35′
🟨 J. Romsaas
Half-time 0–0
D. Mouchamps 🔁
↦ J. Bustin
46′
61′
🔁 P. Pflucke
↦ J. Romsaas
K. Shkurti 🔁
↦ F. Da Silva
68′
71′
🔁 K. Van Den Kerkhof
↦ P. Guiagon
F. Gobitaka 🔁
↦ A. Lefebvre
79′
K. Shkurti 🟨
81′
87′
🔁 F. Szymczak
↦ Y. Titraoui
87′
🔁 M. Nzita
↦ J. Gaudin
87′
🔁 Y. Khalifi
↦ A. Scheidler
88′
🟨 C. Keita
90′
Y. Khalifi 0–1
A. Arslan 🔁
↦ P. Ngawa
91′
F. Soelle 🔁
↦ A. De Sart
91′
92′
🟨 L. Blum
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Liège

1 A. Andre
2 M. Wasinski
5 P. Ngawa
4 J. Bustin
25 J. D'Ostilio
28 R. Wilmots
10 K. Hazard
24 A. De Sart
17 F. Da Silva
11 A. Lefebvre
9 O. Diouf
Bench (9)
12 J. Belin
14 L. Lucker
6 K. Shkurti
18 S. Paulet
13 D. Mouchamps
15 A. Arslan
20 F. Gobitaka
23 S. Reynaerts
19 F. Soelle

Coach: Gaetan Englebert

Charleroi

30 M. Kone
4 A. Ousou
5 E. Camara
8 J. Romsaas
10 P. Guiagon
17 A. Bernier
21 A. Scheidler
22 Y. Titraoui
23 J. Gaudin
27 L. Blum
95 C. Keita
Bench (9)
1 M. Delavallee
9 F. Szymczak
14 P. Pflucke
25 A. Colassin
24 M. Nzita
3 K. Van Den Kerkhof
56 A. Boukamir
40 Y. Khalifi
32 M. Boukamir

Coach: Hans Cornelis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.