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DBU Pokalen
Referee: J Kehlet
Hobro
S T S S S
1–4
Full-time
FC Copenhagen
T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hobro FC Copenhagen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — DBU Pokalen · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
3,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Hobro 3. · FC Copenhagen 36.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Odense 3 3 0 0 +17 9
2 Aarhus Fremad 4 3 0 1 +12 9
3 Hobro 3 3 0 0 +6 9
4 Esbjerg 3 3 0 0 +3 9
5 Lyseng 3 2 1 0 +2 7
6 Brønshøj 4 2 1 1 +1 7
7 Sonderjyske 2 2 0 0 +11 6
8 VSK Århus 3 2 0 1 +8 6
9 Holbæk B&I 3 2 0 1 +7 6
10 Vejle 2 2 0 0 +7 6
11 Viborg 2 2 0 0 +7 6
12 Roskilde 3 2 0 1 +6 6
13 Silkeborg 2 2 0 0 +6 6
14 Hillerød 3 2 0 1 +5 6
15 HIK 3 2 0 1 +5 6
16 Thisted FC 3 2 0 1 +5 6
17 Kolding IF 3 2 0 1 +4 6
18 Sundby 3 2 0 1 +3 6
19 Aalborg 3 2 0 1 +3 6
20 Fredericia 2 2 0 0 +3 6
21 Ringsted 3 2 0 1 +2 6
22 Oksbøl 3 2 0 1 +1 6
23 Hvidovre IF 3 2 0 1 +1 6
24 Kolding B 3 2 0 1 -1 6
25 B 93 3 1 1 1 +7 4
26 Odder 2 1 1 0 +2 4
27 GVI 2 1 1 0 +2 4
28 AB Copenhagen 2 1 1 0 +2 4
29 Lyngby 3 1 1 1 -1 4
30 Skjold Sæby 2 1 0 1 +5 3
31 Vejgaard B 2 1 0 1 +5 3
32 Vanløse 2 1 0 1 +4 3
33 Brondby 1 1 0 0 +3 3
34 Midtjylland 1 1 0 0 +3 3
35 FC Nakskov 2 1 0 1 +2 3
36 FC Copenhagen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
37 Nordsjaelland 1 1 0 0 +2 3
38 Skive 2 1 0 1 +1 3
39 Aarhus 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Randers FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 FC Horsens 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Farsø/Ullits 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Middelfart 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 BSI 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Horsens 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 FA 2000 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Tune 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Skanderborg 2 1 0 1 -2 3
49 Ishøj 2 1 0 1 -2 3
50 B 1909 2 1 0 1 -2 3
51 Bramming 2 1 0 1 -3 3
52 Mejrup 2 1 0 1 -3 3
53 Marstal / Rise 2 1 0 1 -4 3
54 Gørslev 2 1 0 1 -4 3
55 Silkeborg KFUM 3 1 0 2 -7 3
56 Raklev 2 1 0 1 -8 3
57 FC Kalundborg 2 1 0 1 -10 3
58 LSF 2 0 2 0 +0 2
59 Frem 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Nykobing FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 HB Koge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 OKS 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Tved 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 SfB-Oure 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Næsby 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Vendsyssel FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Marienlyst 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Naestved 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 ESPM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 TRIF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Nerashté Ballerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 FC Helsingor 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Sønderborg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Tårnby FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Stenløse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Allerød 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Holstebro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Skovsgård 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Rudersdal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Fredensborg BI 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Kastrup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Skødstrup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Avarta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Billund 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Brabrand 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 BK Chang 1 0 0 1 -3 0
91 Grenaa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
92 Skibsby-Hojene 1 0 0 1 -3 0
93 KFUM Odense 1 0 0 1 -4 0
94 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -4 0
95 BiH Odense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
96 Frem Sakskøbing 1 0 0 1 -5 0
97 Norager 1 0 0 1 -5 0
98 Husum 1 0 0 1 -5 0
99 Viktoria 1 0 0 1 -5 0
100 Øresund OKF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
101 Vallensbæk 1 0 0 1 -6 0
102 Snejbjerg 1 0 0 1 -6 0
103 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -7 0
104 Ålholm 1 0 0 1 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hobro FC Copenhagen
13′
Y. Moukoko 0–1
Half-time 0–1
O. Klitten 🔁
↦ F. Mortensen
46′
S. Andreasen 🔁
↦ V. Rasmussen
46′
46′
🔁 J. Larsson
↦ E. Achouri
48′
Y. Moukoko 0–2
V. Dadason
59′
Y. Moukoko 0–3
M. Madsen
A. Bryld 🔁
↦ L. Klitten
61′
62′
🔁 P. Hatzidiakos
↦ J. Suzuki
72′
🔁 L. Lerager
↦ W. Clem
72′
🔁 L. West
↦ Robert
J. Lind 🔁
↦ M. Bruhn
80′
M. Rosengreen 🔁
↦ M. Jacobsen
80′
80′
🔁 D. Sarapata
↦ Y. Moukoko
1–3 S. Andreasen
R. Hauge
89′
90′
V. Dadason 1–4
L. West
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Hobro

1 A. Sondergaard
18 E. Sogaard
15 G. Bjerge
5 M. Kannegaard
12 M. Jacobsen
6 F. Mortensen
8 M. Pedersen
27 L. Klitten
11 R. Hauge
10 V. Rasmussen
23 M. Bruhn
Bench (9)
4 O. Dorph
7 O. Klitten
21 J. Lind
22 M. Nielsen
40 M. Boye
9 S. Andreasen
47 A. Bryld
37 M. Rosengreen
25 J. Dakir

Coach: Jens Gjesing

FC Copenhagen

1 D. Kotarski
22 Y. Zague
5 Gabriel Pereira
4 M. Garananga
20 J. Suzuki
16 Robert
36 W. Clem
21 M. Madsen
30 E. Achouri
9 Y. Moukoko
39 V. Dadason
Bench (9)
31 R. A. Runarsson
6 P. Hatzidiakos
7 V. Claesson
10 M. Elyounoussi
11 J. Larsson
12 L. Lerager
14 A. Cornelius
23 D. Sarapata
49 L. West

Coach: Bo Svensson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Kehlet · 72 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.