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Europa League
Referee: Aliyar Aghayev
Brann
S S S T S
1–0
Full-time
Utrecht
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,7
1,7
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 5/7 matches
Win Ø 66%
60%
71%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
60%
57%
Both score Ø 49%
40%
57%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,66 xG 0,51
45% Possession 55%
11 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Brann Utrecht
1–0 S. Magnusson ⚽
F. Myhre
41′
Half-time 1–0
61′
🔁 S. Haller
↦ A. Blake
N. Castro 🔁
↦ E. Gudmundsson
63′
N. Holm 🔁
↦ S. Magnusson
63′
73′
🔁 C. Bozdogan
↦ Z. Iqbal
73′
🔁 M. Jonathans
↦ M. Rodriguez
B. Finne 🔁
↦ U. Mathisen
76′
T. Pedersen 🔁
↦ D. De Roeve
76′
80′
🔁 N. Vesterlund
↦ S. El Karouani
80′
🔁 D. Murkin
↦ M. van der Hoorn
Fredrik Knudsen 🟨
81′
Matias Dyngeland 🟨
88′
88′
🟨 Gjivai Zechiël
91′
🟨 Can Bozdoğan
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Brann

4-3-3
1 M. Dyngeland G
21 D. De Roeve D
3 F. Knudsen D
26 E. Fauske Helland D
20 V. Dragsnes D
10 E. Kornvig M
18 J. Sorensen M
8 F. Myhre M
14 U. Mathisen F
22 S. Magnusson F
19 E. Gudmundsson F
Bench (11)
12 T. Bramel
24 M. Klausen
4 N. Boakye
6 J. Sery Larsen
7 M. Hansen
9 N. Castro
11 B. Finne
17 J. Soltvedt
23 T. Pedersen
27 M. Sande
29 N. Holm

Coach: Freyr Alexandersson

Utrecht

4-2-3-1
1 V. Barkas G
2 S. Horemans D
3 M. van der Hoorn D
24 N. Viergever D
16 S. El Karouani D
27 A. Engwanda M
14 Z. Iqbal M
22 M. Rodriguez M
21 G. Zechiel M
15 A. Blake M
9 D. Min F
Bench (10)
25 M. Brouwer
33 K. Gadellaa
8 C. Bozdogan
23 N. Vesterlund
26 M. Jonathans
40 M. Didden
44 M. Eerdhuijzen
46 J. van Ommeren
55 D. Murkin
91 S. Haller

Coach: Ron Jans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.