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Europa League
Referee: Andris Treimanis
Lyon
S T S S S
2–0
Full-time
Salzburg
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,21 xG 0,51
65% Possession 35%
15 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lyon Salzburg
1–0 M. Satriano ⚽
A. Karabec
11′
Half-time 1–0
51′
🟨 Mamady Diambou
2–0 R. Kluivert ⚽
A. Karabec
57′
58′
🔁 S. Kitano
↦ M. Diambou
58′
🔁 E. Baidoo
↦ Y. Vertessen
58′
🔁 K. Alajbegovic
↦ M. K. Yeo
M. Fofana 🔁
↦ A. Karabec
68′
T. Morton 🔁
↦ T. Tessmann
68′
A. Maitland-Niles 🔁
↦ N. Tagliafico
68′
68′
🔁 K. Onisiwo
↦ P. Ratkov
E. Molebe 🔁
↦ M. Satriano
77′
82′
🔁 F. Kratzig
↦ A. Terzic
K. Merah 🔁
↦ C. Tolisso
87′
Ruben Kluivert 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lyon

4-2-3-1
1 D. Greif G
21 R. Kluivert D
22 Clinton Mata D
19 M. Niakhate D
3 N. Tagliafico D
39 M. de Carvalho M
6 T. Tessmann M
7 A. Karabec M
10 P. Sulc M
8 C. Tolisso M
20 M. Satriano F
Bench (10)
50 L. Diarra
62 Y. Konan
11 M. Fofana
17 A. Moreira
23 T. Morton
29 E. Molebe
32 A. Gomes
41 T. Barisic
44 K. Merah
98 A. Maitland-Niles

Coach: Jorge Miguel Gonçalves Maciel

Salzburg

4-4-2
1 A. Schlager G
22 S. Lainer D
23 J. Gadou D
2 J. Rasmussen D
3 A. Terzic D
49 M. K. Yeo M
5 S. Diabate M
15 M. Diambou M
14 M. Kjaergaard M
21 P. Ratkov F
11 Y. Vertessen F
Bench (11)
52 C. Zawieschitzky
92 S. Hamzic
7 C. Bischoff
8 S. Kitano
9 K. Onisiwo
13 F. Kratzig
20 E. Baidoo
27 K. Alajbegovic
29 L. Gourna-Douath
37 T. Trummer
44 J. Schuster

Coach: Thomas Letsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.