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Europa League
Referee: Sebastian Gishamer
Panathinaikos
U T U S S
1–2
Full-time
Go Ahead Eagles
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Go Ahead Eagles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 5/1 matches
Win Ø 20%
40%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 20%
40%
0%
Both score Ø 20%
40%
0%
Average goals
1,6
1,0
Scored
1,2
0,0
Conceded
0,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,23 xG 1,02
64% Possession 36%
33 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
14 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Panathinaikos Go Ahead Eagles
Half-time 1–0
1–0 K. Swiderski ⚽
Tete
55′
M. Siopis 🔁
↦ A. Bakasetas
67′
F. Djuricic 🔁
↦ K. Swiderski
67′
75′
⚽ M. Smit 1–1
D. James
Manolis Siopis 🟨
77′
D. Calabria 🔁
↦ G. Kotsiras
79′
V. Taborda 🔁
↦ A. Gnezda Cerin
79′
79′
🔁 C. Twigt
↦ R. Margaret
82′
⚽ M. Smit 1–2
D. James
F. Mladenovic 🔁
↦ G. Kyriakopoulos
86′
87′
🟨 Jari De Busser
87′
🔁 A. Adelgaard
↦ M. Suray
92′
🔁 F. Stokkers
↦ M. Smit
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-3-3
40 A. Lafont G
27 G. Kotsiras D
14 E. Palmer-Brown D
5 A. Touba D
77 G. Kyriakopoulos D
11 A. Bakasetas M
4 P. Chirivella M
16 A. Gnezda Cerin M
10 Tete F
19 K. Swiderski F
9 A. Zaroury F
Bench (12)
69 B. Dragowski
70 K. Kotsaris
2 D. Calabria
6 M. Siopis
8 R. Sanches
15 S. I. Ingason
20 V. Taborda
25 F. Mladenovic
26 E. Fikaj
30 A. Bregou
31 F. Djuricic
56 V. Lavdas

Coach: Christos Kontis

Go Ahead Eagles

4-2-3-1
22 J. De Busser G
2 M. Deijl D
3 G. Nauber D
4 J. Kramer D
5 D. James D
21 M. Meulensteen M
8 E. Linthorst M
17 M. Suray M
7 J. Breum M
18 R. Margaret M
9 M. Smit F
Bench (12)
1 L. Plogmann
30 S. Jansen
33 N. Verdoni
6 C. Twigt
11 O. Sivertsen
15 R. Weijenberg
24 K. Goudmijn
25 G. van Zwam
26 J. Dirksen
27 F. Stokkers
29 A. Adelgaard
34 Y. Salah Rahmouni

Coach: Melvin Boel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.