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Europa League
Referee: Davide Massa
Basel
T S S T T
2–0
Full-time
Stuttgart
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,43 xG 2,54
35% Possession 65%
12 Shots 29
4 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 10
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 9
0 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Basel Stuttgart
1–0 A. Ajeti ⚽
3′
Albian Ajeti 🟨
30′
Half-time 1–0
I. Salah 🔁
↦ J. Agbonifo
62′
Dominik Schmid 🟨
69′
69′
🔁 C. Fuhrich
↦ J. Leweling
69′
🔁 B. El Khannouss
↦ C. Andres
A. Bacanin 🔁
↦ K. Koindredi
71′
M. Broschinski 🔁
↦ A. Ajeti
71′
M. Soticek 🔁
↦ P. Otele
71′
Ibrahim Salah 🟨
78′
79′
🔁 L. Jovanovic
↦ B. Bouanani
2–0 X. Shaqiri ⚽
M. Soticek
84′
A. Barisic 🔁
↦
90′
91′
🔁 J. Vagnoman
↦ L. Assignon
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 M. Hitz G
3 N. Vouilloz D
32 J. Adjetey D
24 F. Daniliuc D
31 D. Schmid D
8 K. Koindredi M
22 L. Leroy M
9 J. Agbonifo M
10 X. Shaqiri M
7 P. Otele M
23 A. Ajeti F
Bench (11)
13 M. Salvi
47 T. Pfeiffer
14 A. Bacanin
17 M. Broschinski
19 M. Soticek
21 I. Salah
26 A. Barisic
28 D. Kacuri
29 M. Cisse
39 Junior Ze
43 M. Akahomen

Coach: Ludovic Magnin

Stuttgart

4-2-3-1
33 A. Nubel G
22 L. Assignon D
14 L. Jaquez D
3 R. Hendriks D
7 M. Mittelstadt D
30 C. Andres M
6 A. Stiller M
27 B. Bouanani M
8 T. Tomas M
18 J. Leweling M
9 E. Demirovic F
Bench (9)
1 F. Bredlow
4 J. Vagnoman
10 C. Fuhrich
11 B. El Khannouss
16 A. Karazor
23 D. Zagadou
24 J. Chabot
35 M. Catovic
45 L. Jovanovic

Coach: Sebastian Hoeneß

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Davide Massa · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.