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Conference League
Referee: Milos Milanovic
Omonia Nicosia
S S S T S
0–1
Full-time
Mainz
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Omonia Nicosia Mainz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
2,7
1,5
Conceded
0,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
17%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
2,7
2,5
Conceded
0,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,24 xG 1,59
44% Possession 56%
8 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 8
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 8
3 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Omonia Nicosia Mainz
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 Arnaud Nordin
A. Chatzigiovanis 🔁
↦ G. Masouras
60′
N. Erakovic 🔁
↦ C. Eiting
60′
A. Neofytou 🔁
↦ R. Mmaee
60′
64′
🔁 A. Hanche-Olsen
↦ K. Potulski
64′
🔁 B. Bobzien
↦ N. Veratschnig
71′
🔁 B. Hollerbach
↦ A. Sieb
Saad Agouzoul 🟨
73′
75′
⚽ N. Amiri 0–1
A. Dionkou 🔁
↦ S. Simic
80′
E. Andreou 🔁
↦ W. Semedo
80′
89′
🔁 L. Maloney
↦ N. Amiri
89′
🔁 S. Widmer
↦ P. Mwene
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Omonia Nicosia

3-4-3
23 F. Uzoho G
27 S. Simic D
5 S. Coulibaly D
17 S. Agouzoul D
21 G. Masouras M
31 I. Kousoulos M
6 C. Eiting M
3 F. Kitsos M
11 Ewandro F
19 R. Mmaee F
7 W. Semedo F
Bench (11)
98 C. Kyriakidis
2 A. Dionkou
10 A. Chatzigiovanis
20 E. Andreou
24 A. Khammas
30 N. Panagiotou
44 N. Erakovic
74 P. Andreou
85 A. Neofytou
90 C. Konstantinidis
91 K. Panagi

Coach: Henning Stille Berg

Mainz

3-4-3
27 R. Zentner G
21 D. da Costa D
16 S. Bell D
48 K. Potulski D
22 N. Veratschnig M
10 N. Amiri M
6 K. Sano M
2 P. Mwene M
8 P. Nebel F
11 A. Sieb F
9 A. Nordin F
Bench (12)
1 L. Riess
33 D. Batz
14 W. Boving
15 L. Maloney
17 B. Hollerbach
24 S. Kawasaki
25 A. Hanche-Olsen
30 S. Widmer
37 B. Bobzien
38 J. Debrah
42 D. Gleiber
44 N. Weiper

Coach: Bo Bjørnholt Henriksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.