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Conference League
Referee: Duje Strukan
Aberdeen
T T U T T
2–3
Full-time
Shakhtar Donetsk
S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Shakhtar Donetsk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
0,3
1,5
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,97 xG 1,32
28% Possession 72%
12 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Aberdeen Shakhtar Donetsk
Jesper Karlsson ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
7′
1–0 J. Karlsson ⚽
8′
20′
🟨 Pedro Henrique
39′
⚽ Y. Nazaryna 1–1
Half-time 1–1
Jesper Karlsson 🟨
48′
54′
⚽ Lucas Ferreira 1–2
Marlon Gomes
60′
⚽ P. Henrique 1–3
Marlon Gomes
G. Shinnie 🔁
↦ S. Armstrong
64′
S. Nilsen 🔁
↦ A. Palaversa
64′
D. Polvara 🔁
↦ L. Clarkson
65′
Marko Lazetić 🟨
67′
67′
🟨 Mykola Matviyenko
2–3 N. Devlin ⚽
M. Lazetic
69′
Sivert Heltne Nilsen 🟨
70′
Nicky Devlin 🟨
74′
75′
🔁 Isaque Silva
↦ Pedrinho
75′
🔁 Luca Meirelles
↦ Kaua Elias
82′
🔁 Y. Konoplya
↦ Lucas Ferreira
K. Yengi 🔁
↦ J. Karlsson
85′
K. Nisbet 🔁
↦ N. Devlin
86′
90′
🟨 Valeriy Bondar
90′
🔁 A. Ghram
↦ Marlon Gomes
92′
🟨 Vinícius Tobias
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Aberdeen

3-4-3
1 D. Mitov G
26 A. Dorrington D
22 J. Milne D
5 M. Knoester D
2 N. Devlin M
16 S. Armstrong M
18 A. Palaversa M
81 T. Keskinen M
10 L. Clarkson F
27 M. Lazetic F
17 J. Karlsson F
Bench (12)
13 N. Suman
41 R. Vitols
4 G. Shinnie
6 S. Nilsen
7 A. Aouchiche
8 D. Polvara
9 K. Yengi
11 N. Milanovic
15 K. Nisbet
21 G. Molloy
38 D. Lobban
77 E. Gyamfi

Coach: Bo Jimmy Thelin

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-1-4-1
31 D. Riznyk G
17 V. Tobias D
5 V. Bondar D
22 M. Matviienko D
13 P. Henrique D
29 Y. Nazaryna M
37 Lucas Ferreira M
27 O. Ocheretko M
6 Marlon Gomes M
10 Pedrinho M
19 Kaua Elias F
Bench (12)
23 K. Fesyun
4 Marlon
8 D. Kryskiv
9 M. Shved
14 Isaque Silva
16 I. Azarovi
18 A. Ghram
20 A. Glushchenko
21 A. Bondarenko
26 Y. Konoplya
49 Luca Meirelles
74 M. Faryna

Coach: Arda Turan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.