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Eredivisie

Referee: Ingmar Oostrom

Telstar

T U S T T

4–2

Full-time

Go Ahead Eagles

T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Telstar Go Ahead Eagles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,36 xG 2,38

39% Possession 61%

20 Shots 13

9 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 3

0 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Telstar 17. · Go Ahead Eagles 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Feyenoord	7	6	1	0	+11	+8.1	19
2	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	+10	+4.7	16
3	Ajax	7	4	3	0	+7	+5.8	15
4	Nijmegen	7	4	0	3	+8	+6.8	12
5	AZ Alkmaar	7	3	3	1	+4	+3.7	12
6	Groningen	7	4	0	3	+2	-0.0	12
7	Twente	7	3	1	3	+2	+6.7	10
8	For Sittard	7	3	1	3	+0	-5.3	10
9	Utrecht	6	3	0	3	+6	+1.3	9
10	Go Ahead Eagles	6	2	3	1	+2	-0.5	9
11	Sparta Rotterdam	7	3	0	4	-11	-4.6	9
12	Volendam	7	1	4	2	-3	-3.8	7
13	Zwolle	7	2	1	4	-4	-5.1	7
14	NAC Breda	7	2	1	4	-5	-6.0	7
15	Excelsior	7	2	0	5	-9	-5.8	6
16	Heerenveen	6	1	2	3	-2	+6.2	5
17	Telstar	6	1	1	4	-6	-1.2	4
18	Heracles	7	1	0	6	-12	-11.0	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ajax	4	4	0	0	+7	+5.3	12
2	Nijmegen	4	3	0	1	+7	+6.4	9
3	Groningen	4	3	0	1	+6	+0.8	9
4	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+5	+3.8	9
5	PSV Eindhoven	4	2	1	1	+5	+3.2	7
6	For Sittard	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.8	7
7	Utrecht	3	2	0	1	+6	+1.5	6
8	NAC Breda	3	2	0	1	+1	+1.9	6
9	AZ Alkmaar	3	1	2	0	+3	+0.9	5
10	Heerenveen	4	1	2	1	+0	+4.5	5
11	Volendam	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.9	5
12	Go Ahead Eagles	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.6	4
13	Twente	3	1	1	1	-1	+3.2	4
14	Heracles	3	1	0	2	-1	-4.3	3
15	Excelsior	4	1	0	3	-2	-4.1	3
16	Zwolle	3	1	0	2	-3	-2.0	3
17	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	0	2	-7	-3.4	3
18	Telstar	3	0	1	2	-4	+0.4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+6	+4.3	10
2	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+5	+1.5	9
3	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	1	1	+1	+2.8	7
4	Twente	4	2	0	2	+3	+3.5	6
5	Sparta Rotterdam	4	2	0	2	-4	-1.2	6
6	Go Ahead Eagles	3	1	2	0	+2	-1.1	5
7	Zwolle	4	1	1	2	-1	-3.1	4
8	Nijmegen	3	1	0	2	+1	+0.4	3
9	Ajax	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.5	3
10	Utrecht	3	1	0	2	+0	-0.1	3
11	For Sittard	4	1	0	3	-2	-6.1	3
12	Telstar	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.6	3
13	Groningen	3	1	0	2	-4	-0.8	3
14	Excelsior	3	1	0	2	-7	-1.6	3
15	Volendam	3	0	2	1	-3	-2.9	2
16	NAC Breda	4	0	1	3	-6	-7.8	1
17	Heerenveen	2	0	0	2	-2	+1.6	0
18	Heracles	4	0	0	4	-11	-6.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.