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Super League

Referee: Alessandro Dudic

Basel

U T S S T

1–2

Full-time

Luzern

U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,51 xG 1,13

60% Possession 40%

26 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 3

4 Offside 3

6 Free kicks against 19

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Basel 5. · Luzern 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	7	5	0	2	+8	+1.7	15
2	Young Boys	7	4	2	1	+4	-0.7	14
3	Thun	7	4	1	2	+3	-1.2	13
4	Zurich	7	4	1	2	+1	+3.3	13
5	Basel	6	4	0	2	+4	+5.7	12
6	Sion	6	3	1	2	+3	-0.3	10
7	Servette	7	2	2	3	+0	+0.1	8
8	Luzern	6	2	2	2	+0	-2.5	8
9	Lugano	7	2	1	4	-5	+3.2	7
10	Grasshoppers	7	1	3	3	-1	-5.1	6
11	Lausanne	6	1	1	4	-4	+2.4	4
12	Winterthur	7	0	2	5	-13	-6.5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	4	3	1	0	+6	+2.4	10
2	St. Gallen	4	3	0	1	+6	+2.1	9
3	Lugano	4	2	1	1	+2	+1.8	7
4	Basel	2	2	0	0	+4	+5.3	6
5	Zurich	4	2	0	2	-2	+2.2	6
6	Servette	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.6	5
7	Grasshoppers	3	1	1	1	+1	-0.2	4
8	Thun	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.9	4
9	Sion	3	1	0	2	+1	-1.2	3
10	Lausanne	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.0	3
11	Luzern	3	0	1	2	-2	+0.0	1
12	Winterthur	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	4	3	0	1	+4	+0.6	9
2	Zurich	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.1	7
3	Luzern	3	2	1	0	+2	-2.5	7
4	Sion	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.8	7
5	St. Gallen	3	2	0	1	+2	-0.4	6
6	Basel	4	2	0	2	+0	+0.4	6
7	Young Boys	3	1	1	1	-2	-3.1	4
8	Servette	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.5	3
9	Grasshoppers	4	0	2	2	-2	-4.8	2
10	Lausanne	3	0	1	2	-3	+1.4	1
11	Winterthur	4	0	1	3	-10	-4.7	1
12	Lugano	3	0	0	3	-7	+1.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.