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Super League
Referee: Lionel Tschudi
Young Boys
S U U T S
5–0
Full-time
Winterthur
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Winterthur
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,2
3,8
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
2,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 27%
46%
8%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 81%
77%
85%
Both score Ø 70%
77%
62%
Average goals
3,7
4,0
Scored
1,9
1,2
Conceded
1,8
2,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

2,68 xG 0,06
60% Possession 40%
15 Shots 3
10 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 1
4 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Young Boys 3. · Winterthur 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Thun 13 10 1 2 +12 -2.9 31
2 Basel 13 7 1 5 +6 +8.6 22
3 Young Boys 13 6 4 3 +2 -3.0 22
4 St. Gallen 12 7 0 5 +9 +3.2 21
5 Sion 13 5 4 4 +3 +5.3 19
6 Lugano 12 6 1 5 +0 +1.6 19
7 Luzern 13 4 5 4 +4 -0.3 17
8 Lausanne 13 4 4 5 +4 +4.0 16
9 Zurich 13 5 1 7 -6 +3.4 16
10 Servette 13 4 2 7 -5 +0.4 14
11 Grasshoppers 13 3 4 6 -9 -10.5 13
12 Winterthur 13 1 3 9 -20 -9.8 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Aug -25 Winterthur – Young Boys 1–1 15. Feb -25 Winterthur – Young Boys 1–0 18. Jan -25 Young Boys – Winterthur 0–0 22. Sep -24 Winterthur – Young Boys 1–4 25. May -24 Young Boys – Winterthur 3–0

Match report

Young Boys Winterthur
1–0 J. Hadjam ⚽
C. Fassnacht
7′
2–0 C. Bedia ⚽
J. Hadjam
21′
3–0 A. Sanches ⚽
A. Virginius
27′
4–0 C. Fassnacht ⚽
J. Hadjam
29′
33′
🔁 R. Schneider
↦ S. Sidler
34′
🔁 S. Cueni
↦ L. Zuffi
Half-time 4–0
D. Pech 🔁
↦ R. Raveloson
46′
46′
🔁 F. Rohner
↦ T. Golliard
47′
🟨 Fabian Rohner
S. Cordova 🔁
↦ A. Virginius
66′
D. Males 🔁
↦ A. Sanches
66′
66′
🔁 B. Beyer
↦ E. Maluvunu
5–0 C. Fassnacht ⚽
75′
R. Andrews 🔁
↦ S. Janko
80′
R. Smith 🔁
↦ J. Hadjam
80′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Young Boys

4-2-3-1
1 M. Keller G
17 S. Janko D
30 S. Lauper D
23 L. Benito D
3 J. Hadjam D
45 R. Raveloson M
37 A. Gigovic M
16 C. Fassnacht M
10 A. Sanches M
7 A. Virginius M
29 C. Bedia F
Bench (9)
2 R. Andrews
4 T. Zoukrou
5 G. Wuthrich
9 S. Cordova
13 D. Pech
39 D. Males
48 J. Luthi
66 R. Smith
12 H. Lindner

Coach: Giorgio Contini

Winterthur

4-2-3-1
1 S. Kapino G
24 S. Sidler D
66 M. Martins D
22 A. Durrer D
18 S. Diaby D
45 A. Jankewitz M
7 L. Zuffi M
8 T. Golliard M
37 E. Maluvunu M
11 B. Dansoko M
17 A. Hunziker F
Bench (9)
5 L. Muhl
9 R. Buess
10 R. Schneider
14 F. Momoh
23 P. Kasami
27 F. Rohner
44 S. Cueni
68 B. Beyer
75 A. Spagnoli

Coach: Uli Forte

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.