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Europa League
Referee: Juxhin Xhaja
Lyon
T U S S T
2–1
Full-time
Go Ahead Eagles
S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Go Ahead Eagles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
80%
40%
Points per game
2,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
20%
60%
Both score Ø 20%
0%
40%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
0,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

3,06 xG 0,47
62% Possession 38%
17 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lyon Go Ahead Eagles
1–0 A. Moreira ⚽
T. Morton
3′
6′
⚽ M. Smit 1–1
M. Meulensteen
2–1 P. Sulc ⚽
A. Maitland-Niles
11′
Clinton Mata 🟨
33′
Half-time 2–1
60′
🔁 J. Breum
↦ A. Adelgaard
60′
🔁 V. Edvardsen
↦ K. Goudmijn
69′
🔁 C. Twigt
↦ E. Linthorst
M. de Carvalho 🔁
↦ K. Merah
76′
80′
🔁 F. Stokkers
↦ G. van Zwam
85′
🟨 Finn Stokkers
Abner Vinicius 🔁
↦ M. Satriano
86′
94′
🟨 Melle Meulensteen
A. Gomes 🔁
↦ C. Tolisso
94′
A. Karabec 🔁
↦ A. Moreira
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lyon

3-5-2
40 R. Descamps G
22 C. Mata D
19 M. Niakhate D
3 N. Tagliafico D
98 A. Maitland-Niles M
44 K. Merah M
23 T. Morton M
8 C. Tolisso M
17 A. Moreira M
10 P. Sulc F
20 M. Satriano F
Bench (9)
1 D. Greif
32 A. Gomes
7 A. Karabec
16 Abner Vinicius
29 E. Molebe
39 M. de Carvalho
41 T. Barisic
46 T. Goncalves
84 A. Hamdani

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Go Ahead Eagles

4-2-3-1
22 J. De Busser G
2 M. Deijl D
25 G. van Zwam D
4 J. Kramer D
5 D. James D
21 M. Meulensteen M
8 E. Linthorst M
29 A. Adelgaard M
24 K. Goudmijn M
17 M. Suray M
9 M. Smit F
Bench (12)
1 L. Plogmann
30 S. Jansen
33 N. Verdoni
6 C. Twigt
7 J. Breum
11 O. Sivertsen
14 O. Pettersson
16 V. Edvardsen
18 R. Margaret
26 J. Dirksen
27 F. Stokkers
34 Y. Salah Rahmouni

Coach: Melvin Boel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.