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Europa League
Referee: Giorgi Kruashvili
Nice
T T T T T
0–1
Full-time
Sp Braga
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Sp Braga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
4,2
Scored
0,7
2,7
Conceded
2,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-2,2
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 5/11 matches
Win Ø 37%
0%
73%
Points per game
0,0
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
100%
36%
Both score Ø 58%
80%
36%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
0,8
2,1
Conceded
2,4
0,6
Goal diff per game
-1,6
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,31 xG 0,73
37% Possession 63%
10 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Nice Sp Braga
28′
⚽ P. Victor 0–1
V. Gomez
34′
🟨 Florian Grillitsch
Kojo Peprah Oppong 🟨
37′
Tiago Gouveia 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
60′
🔁 J. Moutinho
↦ F. Grillitsch
60′
🔁 G. Lagerbielke
↦ Vitor Carvalho
60′
🔁 G. Martinez
↦ L. Lelo
S. Diop 🔁
↦ T. Ndombele
69′
M. Cho 🔁
↦ B. Nguene
69′
76′
🔁 F. Navarro
↦ A. El Ouazzani
Salis Abdul Samed 🟨
79′
C. Vanhoutte 🔁
↦ S. Abdul Samed
80′
A. Mendy 🔁
↦ A. Abdi
80′
J. Clauss 🔁
↦ I. Jansson
80′
Antoine Mendy 🟨
86′
86′
🟨 Fran Navarro
86′
🔁 Gabriel Moscardo
↦ P. Victor
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Nice

4-3-3
31 M. Dupe G
47 T. Gouveia D
37 K. Peprah D
26 M. Bard D
2 A. Abdi D
20 T. Louchet M
99 S. Abdul Samed M
22 T. Ndombele M
49 B. Nguene F
90 Kevin F
21 I. Jansson F
Bench (11)
30 B. Zelazowski
80 Y. Diouf
6 H. Boudaoui
8 M. Sanson
10 S. Diop
24 C. Vanhoutte
25 M. Cho
28 J. Bah
33 A. Mendy
36 B. Mantsounga
92 J. Clauss

Coach: Claude Puel

Sp Braga

3-4-1-2
1 L. Hornicek G
6 Vitor Carvalho D
4 S. Niakate D
26 B. Arrey-Mbi D
2 V. Gomez M
29 Gorby M
27 F. Grillitsch M
5 L. Lelo M
21 R. Horta F
18 P. Victor F
9 A. El Ouazzani F
Bench (12)
12 T. Sa
36 A. Bellaarouch
8 J. Moutinho
14 G. Lagerbielke
15 P. Oliveira
17 Gabriel Moscardo
20 M. Dorgeles
39 F. Navarro
41 Y. da Rocha
50 D. Rodrigues
77 G. Martinez
95 S. Vidigal

Coach: Carlos Vicens

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.