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Europa League
Referee: Mohammed Al-Hakim
Ferencvarosi TC
T S U S S
3–1
Full-time
Ludogorets
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ferencvarosi TC Ludogorets
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 3/5 matches
Win Ø 54%
67%
40%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
33%
80%
Both score Ø 74%
67%
80%
Average goals
2,7
3,6
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,98 xG 0,67
49% Possession 51%
19 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Aug -25 Ferencvarosi TC – Ludogorets 3–0 6. Aug -25 Ludogorets – Ferencvarosi TC 0–0

Match report

Ferencvarosi TC Ludogorets
17′
🟨 Dinis Almeida
Naby Keïta 🟨
20′
1–0 G. Kanichowsky ⚽
Dele
32′
Yusuf Bamidele ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
45′
Half-time 1–0
A. Toth 🔁
↦ N. Keita
46′
46′
🔁 E. Bile
↦ F. Kaloc
Yusuf Bamidele 🟨
51′
2–0 Cadu ⚽
53′
56′
🟨 Olivier Verdon
L. Joseph 🔁
↦ Dele
63′
65′
🟨 Erick Marcus
J. Romao 🔁
↦ K. Zachariassen
67′
71′
🔁 I. Chochev
↦ Pedro Naressi
75′
🔁 I. Yordanov
↦ D. Duarte
75′
🔁 S. Ivanov
↦ Erick Marcus
78′
⚽ Son 2–1
S. Ivanov
B. Varga 🔁
↦ A. Pesic
80′
B. Otvos 🔁
↦ G. Kanichowsky
80′
87′
🔁 M. Machado
↦ Caio Vidal
3–1 L. Joseph ⚽
A. Toth
87′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Ferencvarosi TC

3-5-2
90 D. Dibusz G
27 I. Cisse D
28 T. Raemaekers D
22 G. Szalai D
25 C. Makreckis M
16 K. Zachariassen M
5 N. Keita M
36 G. Kanichowsky M
20 Cadu M
8 A. Pesic F
11 Dele F
Bench (12)
63 D. Radnoti
99 D. Grof
10 J. Levi
19 B. Varga
23 B. Otvos
30 Z. Gruber
64 A. Toth
66 J. Romao
72 A. Madarasz
75 L. Joseph
76 K. Lisztes
77 B. Nagy

Coach: Robert David Keane

Ludogorets

1 S. Padt G
17 Son D
24 O. Verdon D
4 D. Almeida D
3 A. Nedyalkov D
30 Pedro Naressi M
77 Erick Marcus M
26 F. Kaloc M
23 D. Duarte M
11 Caio Vidal M
14 P. Stanic F
Bench (10)
39 H. Bonmann
67 D. Hristov
10 M. Machado
18 I. Chochev
20 A. Camara
29 E. Bile
55 I. Nachmias
80 M. Stefanov
82 I. Yordanov
99 S. Ivanov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Mohammed Al-Hakim · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.