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Europa League
Referee: Mohammad Al-Emara
Young Boys
T S S T T
3–2
Full-time
Ludogorets
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Ludogorets
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
75%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

4,36 xG 0,99
59% Possession 41%
15 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Young Boys Ludogorets
26′
⚽ P. Stanic 0–1
B. Tekpetey
C. Fassnacht 🔁
↦ D. Males
35′
1–1 R. Raveloson ⚽
R. Andrews
45′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 C. Fassnacht ⚽
E. Fernandes
53′
Armin Gigović ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
60′
62′
🟨 Caio Vidal
3–1 C. Bedia ⚽
63′
64′
🔁 Son
↦ S. Ivanov
64′
🔁 E. Bile
↦ B. Tekpetey
S. Cordova 🔁
↦ J. Monteiro
78′
S. Lauper 🔁
↦ A. Gigovic
78′
78′
🔁 I. Chochev
↦ D. Duarte
78′
🔁 I. Yordanov
↦ F. Kaloc
D. Pech 🔁
↦ E. Fernandes
86′
F. Tsimba 🔁
↦ C. Bedia
86′
90′
⚽ I. Yordanov 3–2
Felix Tsimba 🟨
92′
Christian Fassnacht 🟨
95′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Young Boys

4-2-3-1
1 M. Keller G
2 R. Andrews D
4 T. Zoukrou D
23 L. Benito D
3 J. Hadjam D
45 R. Raveloson M
6 E. Fernandes M
39 D. Males M
37 A. Gigovic M
77 J. Monteiro M
29 C. Bedia F
Bench (11)
12 H. Lindner
40 D. Marzino
7 A. Virginius
9 S. Cordova
11 E. Colley
13 D. Pech
16 C. Fassnacht
17 S. Janko
25 F. Tsimba
30 S. Lauper
57 O. Mambwa

Coach: Giorgio Contini

Ludogorets

39 H. Bonmann G
24 O. Verdon D
4 D. Almeida D
3 A. Nedyalkov D
99 S. Ivanov M
23 D. Duarte M
14 P. Stanic M
2 J. Andersson M
26 F. Kaloc F
37 B. Tekpetey F
11 Caio Vidal F
Bench (11)
67 D. Hristov
69 Z. Stoimenov
10 M. Machado
17 Son
18 I. Chochev
29 E. Bile
42 S. Shishkov
77 Erick Marcus
80 M. Stefanov
81 G. Penev
82 I. Yordanov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.