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Ligue 1
Referee: M Vernice
Angers
T U S S T
0–1
Full-time
Lille
S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,7
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 41%
36%
45%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
27%
41%
Both score Ø 39%
36%
41%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,39 xG 2,33
45% Possession 55%
6 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 12. · Lille 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 23 17 3 3 +33 +25.9 54
2 Lens 23 17 1 5 +24 +14.9 52
3 Lyon 22 14 3 5 +16 +10.4 45
4 Marseille 23 12 4 7 +17 +9.2 40
5 Rennes 23 10 7 6 +2 -1.5 37
6 Lille 22 10 4 8 +4 +7.0 34
7 Monaco 23 10 4 9 +2 +5.5 34
8 Strasbourg 22 9 4 9 +7 +7.5 31
9 Toulouse 23 8 7 8 +6 +4.1 31
10 Lorient 22 8 7 7 -4 +0.1 31
11 Brest 23 8 6 9 -3 +0.8 30
12 Angers 22 8 5 9 -5 -12.9 29
13 Le Havre 22 6 8 8 -7 -6.4 26
14 Nice 22 6 5 11 -13 -11.3 23
15 Paris FC 23 5 8 10 -13 -12.3 23
16 Auxerre 23 4 5 14 -16 -7.6 17
17 Nantes 22 3 5 14 -20 -13.1 14
18 Metz 23 3 4 16 -30 -20.1 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Lille
Branco van den Boomen 🟨
21′
Yassin Belkhdim 🟨
27′
36′
🟨 Nathan Ngoy
45′
O. Giroud 0–1
Half-time 0–1
H. Djibirin 🔁
↦ H. Belkebla
67′
73′
🔁 H. Haraldsson
↦ G. Perrin
P. Peter 🔁
↦ L. Mouton
78′
F. Hanin 🔁
↦ J. Ekomie
78′
79′
🔁 N. Bentaleb
↦ F. Correia
79′
🔁 N. Mukau
↦ O. Giroud
84′
🔁 R. Perraud
↦ C. Verdonk
Hervé Koffi 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Angers

4-2-3-1
12 H. Koffi G
27 L. Raolisoa D
4 O. Camara D
21 J. Lefort D
3 J. Ekomie D
93 H. Belkebla M
8 B. van den Boomen M
14 Y. Belkhdim M
6 L. Mouton M
7 A. Sbai M
9 G. Koyalipou F
Bench (9)
16 M. Zinga
5 M. Courcoul
24 E. Biumla
35 P. Peter
31 H. Djibirin
26 F. Hanin
15 P. Capelle
20 M. Louer
36 L. Machine

Coach: Alexandre Dujeux

Lille

4-2-3-1
1 B. Ozer G
22 T. Santos D
3 N. Ngoy D
23 A. Mandi D
24 C. Verdonk D
32 A. Bouaddi M
21 B. Andre M
28 G. Perrin M
7 M. Fernandez-Pardo M
27 F. Correia M
9 O. Giroud F
Bench (9)
16 A. Bodart
6 N. Bentaleb
20 N. Edjouma
35 S. Diaoune
18 C. Mbemba
15 R. Perraud
10 H. Haraldsson
17 N. Mukau
38 A. Goffi

Coach: Bruno Genesio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,12
U
3,44
B ✓
1,87
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,01
U2,5 ✓
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Vernice · 76 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.