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Conference League
Referee: Mikkel Redder
Breidablik
S T T U T
2–1
Full-time
Virtus
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Breidablik Virtus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Breidablik Virtus
11′
⚽ S. Scappini 0–1
1–1 V. Valgeirsson ⚽
K. Jonsson
31′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🟨 Alessandro Golinucci
K. Steindorsson 🔁
↦ H. Gunnlaugsson
46′
47′
🟨 Armando Amati
51′
🟨 Nicola Gori
2–1 T. Thomsen ⚽
55′
O. Omarsson 🔁
↦ D. Ingvarsson
63′
K. Kristinsson 🔁
↦ A. Bjarnason
63′
69′
🟨 Stefano Scappini
73′
🔁 A. Montanari
↦ A. Amati
73′
🔁 M. Zenoni
↦ T. Lombardi
G. Magnusson 🔁
↦ T. Thomsen
76′
85′
🔁 S. Benincasa
↦ S. Scappini
88′
🟨 Simone Benincasa
91′
🔁 J. Muggeo
↦ A. Niang
91′
🔁 G. Capicchioni
↦ E. Ciacci
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Breidablik

4-3-3
1 A. Einarsson G
17 V. Valgeirsson D
44 D. Muminovic D
21 V. Margeirsson D
19 K. Jonsson D
15 A. Thorsteinsson M
7 H. Gunnlaugsson M
8 V. Einarsson M
11 A. Bjarnason M
77 T. Thomsen F
18 D. Ingvarsson M
Bench (12)
12 B. Bragason
33 G. Snaeholm
4 A. Orrason
9 O. Omarsson
10 K. Steindorsson
23 K. Kristinsson
26 A. Kotlevs
29 G. Hallsson
31 G. Gunnleifsson
39 B. Agustsson
99 G. Magnusson
28 B. Thorsteinsson

Coach: Halldór Árnason

Virtus

4-3-3
12 S. Guddo
17 A. Golinucci
26 A. Giacomoni D
18 M. Legittimo D
15 N. Gori D
10 I. Buonocunto
45 E. Ciacci M
21 A. Amati
19 A. Niang F
90 S. Scappini F
11 T. Lombardi F
Bench (8)
1 M. Manzaroli
4 A. Montanari
6 R. Sabato
16 J. Muggeo
20 G. Capicchioni
25 S. Benincasa
33 M. Zenoni
34 U. De Lucia

Coach: Luigi Bizzotto

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Mikkel Redder · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.